Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk — Premier League
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Stadion Ukraina·Lviv·Ukraine·28,051
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Karpaty and Zorya Luhansk meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Karpaty have recorded 13 wins from 25 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 1.80 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Zorya Luhansk have won 36% of their 28 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Karpaty and 1.18 for Zorya Luhansk. The models give Karpaty a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Zorya Luhansk win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Karpaty—
Zorya Luhansk5º
Position
6º
1.75
PPG
1.56
50%
Win %
44%
1.88
Goals / game
1.33
0.75
Conceded / game
1.44
52%
BTTS %
68%
36%
Clean sheet %
25%
52%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
9.5
0.0
Avg shots
19.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
9.5
4.0
Avg yellow cards
2.5
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
44.0%
Avg possession
58.5%
Home vs Away
Karpaty
Home (4)
—
Zorya Luhansk
Away (4)
1.75
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
50%
2.00
Goals / game
1.75
0.75
Conceded / game
1.00
56%
BTTS %
85%
38%
Clean sheet %
15%
63%
Over 2.5 %
77%
0.0
Avg corners
9.5
0.0
Avg shots
19.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
9.5
4.0
Avg yellow cards
2.5
44.0%
Avg possession
58.5%
Goals Scored
| Karpaty | Home | Away | Zorya Luhansk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 94% | 67% | 86% | 73% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 50% | 44% | 54% | 47% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 31% | 33% | 18% | 7% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 6% | 33% | 14% | 27% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Karpaty | Home | Away | Zorya Luhansk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 63% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 25% | 22% | 46% | 53% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 6% | 0% | 18% | 20% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 38% | 33% | 25% | 33% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Karpaty | Zorya Luhansk | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 18% |
| BTTS | 52% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Karpaty | Zorya Luhansk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 12% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 32% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 48% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
Karpaty (H)D
Veres Rivne1–1
Veres Rivne1–1L
Shakhtar Donetsk1–2
Shakhtar Donetsk1–2W
Obolon'-Brovar2–0
Obolon'-Brovar2–0W
Bukovyna3–0
Bukovyna3–0W
LNZ Cherkasy3–0
LNZ Cherkasy3–0WVeres Rivne5–1
Veres Rivne5–1Zorya Luhansk (A)W
Livyi Bereh3–1
Livyi Bereh3–1W
Kolos Kovalivka2–1
Kolos Kovalivka2–1DBukovyna1–1
Bukovyna1–1W
Yarud Mariupol'2–0
Yarud Mariupol'2–0DVeres Rivne1–1
Veres Rivne1–1W
Skala 1911 Stryi6–0
Skala 1911 Stryi6–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Karpaty | Zorya Luhansk |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 9.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
2
Karpaty
9%
6
Draws
27%
14
Zorya Luhansk
64%
77%
Over 1.5
17/22
55%
Over 2.5
12/22
23%
Over 3.5
5/22
64%
BTTS
14/22
23/05/26Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
1–2Zorya Luhansk05/12/25Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
1–0Karpaty25/05/25Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
1–3Zorya Luhansk02/12/24Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
2–1Karpaty30/11/19Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
2–0Karpaty25/08/19Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
0–1Zorya Luhansk10/11/18Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
2–1Karpaty12/08/18Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
0–1Zorya Luhansk18/02/18Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
0–2Zorya Luhansk17/09/17Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
0–0Karpaty27/11/16Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
2–2Zorya Luhansk21/08/16Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
2–1Karpaty02/04/16Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
4–1Karpaty13/09/15Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
1–1Zorya Luhansk16/05/15Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
1–1Karpaty02/11/14Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
1–2Zorya Luhansk23/04/14Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
2–2Karpaty10/08/13Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
0–0Zorya Luhansk28/04/13Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
2–0Zorya Luhansk06/10/12Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
2–1Karpaty| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 |  Polessya | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |  FC Kharkiv | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 14 |
| 6 | Zorya Luhansk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Veres Rivne | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 9 | Kolos Kovalivka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | Bukovyna | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 |  Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Obolon'-Brovar | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 |  Chornomorets | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 |  Kudrivka | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 16 |  Kryvbas KR | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
Team Insights
Karpaty- ●Karpaty have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Zorya Luhansk- ●Zorya Luhansk have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Zorya Luhansk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Zorya Luhansk have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Zorya Luhansk have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Zorya Luhansk failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●69% of Zorya Luhansk's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
KarpatyLADynamo Kyiv0–1
Dynamo Kyiv0–1DHVeres Rivne1–1
Veres Rivne1–1WAKolos Kovalivka2–0
Kolos Kovalivka2–0LHShakhtar Donetsk1–2
Shakhtar Donetsk1–2DALivyi Bereh1–1
Livyi Bereh1–1WHBukovyna3–0
Bukovyna3–0–HEpitsentr Dunayivtsi18/10
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi18/10–AChornomorets24/10
Chornomorets24/10–HKudrivka31/10
Kudrivka31/10Zorya LuhanskWHChornomorets2–1
Chornomorets2–1WALivyi Bereh3–1
Livyi Bereh3–1LHDynamo Kyiv0–2
Dynamo Kyiv0–2DABukovyna1–1
Bukovyna1–1DAVeres Rivne1–1
Veres Rivne1–1LHFC Kharkiv0–3
FC Kharkiv0–3–AShakhtar Donetsk24/10
Shakhtar Donetsk24/10–HEpitsentr Dunayivtsi31/10
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi31/10–HLNZ Cherkasy07/11
LNZ Cherkasy07/11Top Scorers
KarpatyFellipe Vieira5 ⚽
Y. Kostenko4 ⚽
V. Baboglo4 ⚽
Y. Karabin4 ⚽
J. Sery3 ⚽
N. Rusyn3 ⚽
Zorya LuhanskP. Budkivsky6 ⚽
R. Verley4 ⚽
P. Budkivskyi4 ⚽
I. Gorbach4 ⚽
F. Zadorozhnyi3 ⚽
D. Jelavic2 ⚽
Cards Given
KarpatyNazariy Rusyn3 🟨
V. Baboglo3 🟨
A. Chachua3 🟨
R. Vantukh2 🟨
Moha Moukhliss2 🟨
N. Rusyn2 🟨
Zorya Luhansk7 🟨
B. Kushnirenko3 🟨
J. Basic3 🟨
I. Nesterenko2 🟨
Jordan2 🟨
P. Budkivskyi2 🟨