Ukraine · Premier League · Regular Season - 14

Karpaty

5º · 1.67 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 41d 1h

–

Polessya

1º · 2.50 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 36d 6h

Stadion Ukraina·Lviv·Ukraine·28,051

🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free Trial Upgrade to Pro →

Karpaty and Polessya meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Karpaty have recorded 13 wins from 26 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.81 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Polessya have won 63% of their 32 matches, with 2.53 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 72%, and clean sheets at 34%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Karpaty and 1.59 for Polessya. The models give Karpaty a 37% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Polessya win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.

Season Statistics

Karpaty

—

Polessya

5º

Position

1º

1.67

PPG

2.50

44%

Win %

80%

1.89

Goals / game

2.30

0.89

Conceded / game

0.80

54%

BTTS %

63%

35%

Clean sheet %

34%

54%

Over 2.5 %

72%

7.0

Avg corners

8.3

10.0

Avg shots

18.5

2.5

Avg shots on target

5.0

2.5

Avg yellow cards

2.0

0.0

Avg fouls

10.0

55.5%

Avg possession

56.8%

Home vs Away

Karpaty

Home (5)

—

Polessya

Away (3)

1.60

PPG

2.33

40%

Win %

67%

2.00

Goals / game

2.00

1.00

Conceded / game

1.00

59%

BTTS %

67%

35%

Clean sheet %

27%

65%

Over 2.5 %

73%

7.0

Avg corners

8.3

10.0

Avg shots

18.5

2.5

Avg shots on target

5.0

2.5

Avg yellow cards

2.0

55.5%

Avg possession

56.8%

Goals Scored

	Karpaty	Home	Away	Polessya	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	85%	94%	67%	91%	94%	87%
Over 1.5 Scored	50%	53%	44%	69%	71%	67%
Over 2.5 Scored	31%	29%	33%	38%	41%	33%
Failed To Score	15%	6%	33%	9%	6%	13%

Goals Conceded

	Karpaty	Home	Away	Polessya	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	65%	65%	67%	66%	59%	73%
Over 1.5 Conceded	27%	29%	22%	31%	24%	40%
Over 2.5 Conceded	4%	6%	0%	13%	12%	13%
Clean Sheets	35%	35%	33%	34%	41%	27%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Karpaty	Polessya
Over 0.5	96%	94%
Over 1.5	77%	88%
Over 2.5	54%	72%
Over 3.5	27%	44%
Over 4.5	19%	25%
BTTS	54%	63%
BTTS & Win	19%	34%
BTTS & Draw	19%	13%
BTTS & Over 2.5	38%	59%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	15%	13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Karpaty	Polessya
Win 1st Half	31%	59%
Draw 1st Half	54%	31%
Loss 1st Half	15%	10%
Scored 1st Half	58%	76%
Conceded 1st Half	35%	34%
Win 2nd Half	50%	52%
Draw 2nd Half	23%	31%
Loss 2nd Half	27%	17%
Scored 2nd Half	65%	76%
Conceded 2nd Half	46%	45%
Over 0.5 HT	62%	86%
Over 1.5 HT	42%	38%

Recent Venue Form

Karpaty (H)

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2–2

Veres Rivne1–1

Shakhtar Donetsk1–2

Obolon'-Brovar2–0

Bukovyna3–0

LNZ Cherkasy3–0

Polessya (A)

Bukovyna2–2

FC Kharkiv2–1

Shakhtar Donetsk2–0

Chornomorets2–1

FC Copenhagen1–2

Plzen0–2

Number of Corners

8.0

Corners / Match

1 games

League Avg

10.1

18 games

10.3

Corners / Match

4 games

Match Corners	Karpaty	Polessya	League Avg
Over 6	100%	75%	83%
Over 7	100%	75%	72%
Over 8	0%	50%	56%
Over 9	0%	50%	44%
Over 10	0%	50%	39%
Over 11	0%	50%	39%
Over 12	0%	25%	33%
Over 13	0%	25%	22%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Karpaty	Polessya
Corners Earned / Match	7.0	8.3
Corners Against / Match	1.0	2.0
Over 2.5 Corners For	100%	75%
Over 3.5 Corners For	100%	75%
Over 4.5 Corners For	100%	75%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	0%	25%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	0%	0%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	0%	0%

Head to Head · 7 matches

Karpaty

Draws

14%

Polessya

86%

100%

Over 1.5

7/7

57%

Over 2.5

4/7

29%

Over 3.5

2/7

57%

BTTS

4/7

13/12/25

Polessya

3–2

Karpaty

03/08/25

Karpaty

0–2

Polessya

07/04/25

Polessya

1–1

Karpaty

12/02/25

Karpaty

0–3

Polessya

28/09/24

Karpaty

1–3

Polessya

27/11/22

Karpaty

1–2

Polessya

07/10/22

Polessya

2–0

Karpaty

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polessya	10	8	1	1	+15	25
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	10	8	1	1	+15	25
3	FC Kharkiv	9	7	0	2	+11	21
4	Dynamo Kyiv	9	6	1	2	+5	19
5	Karpaty	9	4	3	2	+9	15
6	Zorya Luhansk	10	4	3	3	-1	15
7	LNZ Cherkasy	10	4	3	3	+1	15
8	Kolos Kovalivka	9	3	2	4	-1	11
9	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	10	2	3	5	-4	9
10	Veres Rivne	10	2	3	5	-7	9
11	Livyi Bereh	9	1	5	3	-2	8
12	Bukovyna	9	1	5	3	-5	8
13	Obolon'-Brovar	9	1	4	4	-11	7
14	Chornomorets	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Kudrivka	10	1	2	7	-13	5
16	Kryvbas KR	7	1	2	4	-6	5

Team Insights

Karpaty

●Karpaty have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
●Karpaty have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.

Polessya

●Polessya have won their last 2 matches.
●Polessya have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
●Polessya have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
●Polessya have won their last 5 home matches.
●Polessya have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
●Polessya have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
●Polessya have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●Polessya have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
●Polessya have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
●74% of Polessya's goals have been scored at home.