Chełmianka Chełm vs Star Starachowice — III Liga - Group 4
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Chełmianka Chełm and Star Starachowice meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Chełmianka Chełm have recorded 8 wins from 13 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 1.54 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 46% of games. Star Starachowice have won 33% of their 21 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 76%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Chełmianka Chełm and 0.94 for Star Starachowice. The models give Chełmianka Chełm a 63% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Star Starachowice win at 14%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Chełmianka Chełm—
Star Starachowice1º
Position
16º
2.75
PPG
0.75
88%
Win %
13%
1.75
Goals / game
0.88
0.25
Conceded / game
1.75
46%
BTTS %
52%
46%
Clean sheet %
24%
54%
Over 2.5 %
76%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Chełmianka Chełm
Home (4)
—
Star Starachowice
Away (4)
2.50
PPG
0.25
75%
Win %
0%
1.50
Goals / game
0.50
0.50
Conceded / game
2.50
60%
BTTS %
44%
40%
Clean sheet %
11%
40%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Chełmianka Chełm | Home | Away | Star Starachowice | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 88% | 67% | 83% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 60% | 50% | 57% | 67% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 13% | 19% | 25% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 13% | 33% | 17% | 56% |
Goals Conceded
| Chełmianka Chełm | Home | Away | Star Starachowice | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 54% | 60% | 50% | 76% | 67% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 0% | 50% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 0% | 25% | 38% | 33% | 44% |
| Clean Sheets | 46% | 40% | 50% | 24% | 33% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chełmianka Chełm | Star Starachowice | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | 15% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 33% |
| BTTS | 46% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 29% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chełmianka Chełm | Star Starachowice | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 54% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 76% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 77% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Chełmianka Chełm (H)D
Siarka Tarnobrzeg1–1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg1–1W
KS Wieczysta Krakow II1–0
KS Wieczysta Krakow II1–0W
Wisłoka Dębica2–1
Wisłoka Dębica2–1W
Sokół Kolb.2–0
Sokół Kolb.2–0W
Hetman Zamosc2–1
Hetman Zamosc2–1W
Naprzód2–0
Naprzód2–0Star Starachowice (A)DSokół Kolb.0–0
Sokół Kolb.0–0LHetman Zamosc0–3
Hetman Zamosc0–3L
Wisła Kraków II2–4
Wisła Kraków II2–4L
Czarni Połaniec0–2
Czarni Połaniec0–2L
KSZO 19290–6
KSZO 19290–6L
Puszcza Niepołomice0–3
Puszcza Niepołomice0–3Head to Head · 6 matches
2
Chełmianka Chełm
33%
3
Draws
50%
1
Star Starachowice
17%
100%
Over 1.5
6/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
83%
BTTS
5/6
09/05/26Star Starachowice
Chełmianka Chełm
5–2Star Starachowice18/10/25Chełmianka Chełm
Star Starachowice
1–1Chełmianka Chełm23/11/24Star Starachowice
Chełmianka Chełm
1–1Star Starachowice03/08/24Chełmianka Chełm
Star Starachowice
5–1Chełmianka Chełm20/04/24Chełmianka Chełm
Star Starachowice
1–1Chełmianka Chełm23/09/23Star Starachowice
Chełmianka Chełm
2–0Star Starachowice| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 22 |
| 2 | KSZO 1929 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 3 | Czarni Połaniec | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 16 |
| 5 |  Jarosław | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 | Wisłoka Dębica | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 | Wisła Kraków II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Naprzód | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Sokół Kolb. | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 |  Busko-Zdroj | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 |  Moravia Morawica | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Korona Kielce II | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
Team Insights
Chełmianka Chełm- ●Chełmianka Chełm have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Star Starachowice- ●Star Starachowice have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Star Starachowice have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●80% of Star Starachowice's goals have been scored at home.
- ●89% of Star Starachowice's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Chełmianka ChełmDHSiarka Tarnobrzeg1–1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg1–1WAWisła Kraków II2–0
Wisła Kraków II2–0WHKS Wieczysta Krakow II1–0
KS Wieczysta Krakow II1–0WANaprzód2–0
Naprzód2–0WHWisłoka Dębica2–1
Wisłoka Dębica2–1WAMoravia Morawica3–0
Moravia Morawica3–0–AKSZO 192919/09
KSZO 192919/09–HPodlasie Biała Podlaska26/09
Podlasie Biała Podlaska26/09–AHetman Zamosc04/10
Hetman Zamosc04/10Star StarachowiceLHWisłoka Dębica2–3
Wisłoka Dębica2–3DASokół Kolb.0–0
Sokół Kolb.0–0WHJarosław3–0
Jarosław3–0DHBusko-Zdroj1–1
Busko-Zdroj1–1WHCzarni Połaniec2–0
Czarni Połaniec2–0LAHetman Zamosc0–3
Hetman Zamosc0–3–ABusko-Zdroj22/08
Busko-Zdroj22/08–AKS Wieczysta Krakow II19/09
KS Wieczysta Krakow II19/09–HSiarka Tarnobrzeg26/09
Siarka Tarnobrzeg26/09Top Scorers
Chełmianka ChełmP. Tomczyk3 ⚽
J. Kuzdra2 ⚽
K. Okoniewski2 ⚽
P. Cichocki2 ⚽
1 ⚽
Star StarachowiceS. Stanislawski3 ⚽
A. Szynka2 ⚽
2 ⚽
J. Kowalski1 ⚽
M. Jagiello1 ⚽
P. Stefanski1 ⚽
Cards Given
Chełmianka ChełmStar StarachowiceA. Swigut1 🟨
1 🟨