Czarni Połaniec vs Chełmianka Chełm — III Liga - Group 4
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Czarni Połaniec and Chełmianka Chełm meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Czarni Połaniec have recorded 8 wins from 13 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 1.62 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Chełmianka Chełm have won 62% of their 13 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 46%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.29 for Czarni Połaniec and 1.46 for Chełmianka Chełm. The models give Czarni Połaniec a 30% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Chełmianka Chełm win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Czarni Połaniec—
Chełmianka Chełm3º
Position
1º
2.25
PPG
2.75
75%
Win %
88%
1.75
Goals / game
1.75
1.13
Conceded / game
0.25
46%
BTTS %
46%
38%
Clean sheet %
46%
46%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Czarni Połaniec
Home (3)
—
Chełmianka Chełm
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
3.00
67%
Win %
100%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.00
57%
BTTS %
38%
29%
Clean sheet %
50%
71%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Czarni Połaniec | Home | Away | Chełmianka Chełm | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 86% | 83% | 92% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 71% | 33% | 54% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 43% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 14% | 17% | 8% | 0% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Czarni Połaniec | Home | Away | Chełmianka Chełm | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 71% | 50% | 54% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 43% | 17% | 31% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 29% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 29% | 50% | 46% | 40% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Czarni Połaniec | Chełmianka Chełm | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 8% |
| BTTS | 46% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Czarni Połaniec | Chełmianka Chełm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 54% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 23% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 62% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 77% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Czarni Połaniec (H)W
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów3–0
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów3–0L
Korona Kielce II3–4
Korona Kielce II3–4L
Podlasie Biała Podlaska0–2
Podlasie Biała Podlaska0–2W
KS Wieczysta Krakow II3–1
KS Wieczysta Krakow II3–1W
Sokół Kolb.2–1
Sokół Kolb.2–1L
Jarosław1–4
Jarosław1–4Chełmianka Chełm (A)W
Wisła Kraków II2–0
Wisła Kraków II2–0W
Naprzód2–0
Naprzód2–0W
Moravia Morawica3–0
Moravia Morawica3–0WPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów1–0
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów1–0L
Górnik Łęczna1–4
Górnik Łęczna1–4L
Avia Świdnik1–2
Avia Świdnik1–2Head to Head · 10 matches
1
Czarni Połaniec
10%
3
Draws
30%
6
Chełmianka Chełm
60%
90%
Over 1.5
9/10
50%
Over 2.5
5/10
40%
Over 3.5
4/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
07/03/26Chełmianka Chełm
Czarni Połaniec
1–1Chełmianka Chełm23/08/25Czarni Połaniec
Chełmianka Chełm
1–0Czarni Połaniec29/03/25Chełmianka Chełm
Czarni Połaniec
2–3Chełmianka Chełm31/08/24Czarni Połaniec
Chełmianka Chełm
3–1Czarni Połaniec13/04/24Czarni Połaniec
Chełmianka Chełm
1–1Czarni Połaniec16/09/23Chełmianka Chełm
Czarni Połaniec
3–3Chełmianka Chełm27/05/23Chełmianka Chełm
Czarni Połaniec
2–0Chełmianka Chełm29/10/22Czarni Połaniec
Chełmianka Chełm
2–0Czarni Połaniec18/06/22Chełmianka Chełm
Czarni Połaniec
0–3Chełmianka Chełm13/11/21Czarni Połaniec
Chełmianka Chełm
4–0Czarni Połaniec| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 22 |
| 2 |  KSZO 1929 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 3 | Czarni Połaniec | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 16 |
| 5 | Jarosław | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 |  Wisłoka Dębica | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 |  Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 | Wisła Kraków II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Naprzód | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Hetman Zamosc | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Sokół Kolb. | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 |  Busko-Zdroj | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Star Starachowice | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Korona Kielce II | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
Team Insights
Czarni Połaniec- ●Czarni Połaniec have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Czarni Połaniec have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●69% of Czarni Połaniec's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Czarni Połaniec's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●60% of Czarni Połaniec's points have been earned away.
Chełmianka Chełm- ●Chełmianka Chełm have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Czarni PołaniecWAMoravia Morawica2–1
Moravia Morawica2–1WHPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów3–0
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów3–0WAWiślanie Jaśkowice1–0
Wiślanie Jaśkowice1–0LHKorona Kielce II3–4
Korona Kielce II3–4LAStar Starachowice0–2
Star Starachowice0–2LHPodlasie Biała Podlaska0–2
Podlasie Biała Podlaska0–2–AKorona Kielce II22/08
Korona Kielce II22/08–HNaprzód19/09
Naprzód19/09–AWisła Kraków II25/09
Wisła Kraków II25/09Chełmianka ChełmDHSiarka Tarnobrzeg1–1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg1–1WAWisła Kraków II2–0
Wisła Kraków II2–0WHKS Wieczysta Krakow II1–0
KS Wieczysta Krakow II1–0WANaprzód2–0
Naprzód2–0WHWisłoka Dębica2–1
Wisłoka Dębica2–1WAMoravia Morawica3–0
Moravia Morawica3–0–AKSZO 192919/09
KSZO 192919/09–HPodlasie Biała Podlaska26/09
Podlasie Biała Podlaska26/09–AHetman Zamosc04/10
Hetman Zamosc04/10Top Scorers
Czarni PołaniecG. Platek3 ⚽
M. Banik2 ⚽
I. Kierys2 ⚽
A. Piatrenka2 ⚽
S. Szlek1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Chełmianka ChełmP. Tomczyk4 ⚽
J. Kuzdra2 ⚽
K. Okoniewski2 ⚽
P. Cichocki2 ⚽
Cards Given
Czarni PołaniecD. Bawor2 🟨
Chełmianka Chełm