Hetman Zamosc vs Jarosław — III Liga - Group 4
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Hetman Zamosc and Jarosław meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Hetman Zamosc have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Jarosław have won 50% of their 14 matches, with 2.50 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 86%, Over 2.5 at 86%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.84 for Hetman Zamosc and 1.43 for Jarosław. The models give Hetman Zamosc a 44% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Jarosław win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Hetman Zamosc—
Jarosław12º
Position
4º
1.11
PPG
1.78
22%
Win %
56%
1.78
Goals / game
2.67
1.89
Conceded / game
1.67
75%
BTTS %
86%
17%
Clean sheet %
14%
67%
Over 2.5 %
86%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Hetman Zamosc
Home (5)
—
Jarosław
Away (3)
1.60
PPG
1.00
40%
Win %
33%
1.80
Goals / game
1.67
1.20
Conceded / game
2.33
67%
BTTS %
100%
17%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Hetman Zamosc | Home | Away | Jarosław | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 83% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 67% | 50% | 64% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 33% | 0% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Hetman Zamosc | Home | Away | Jarosław | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 83% | 83% | 86% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 67% | 64% | 63% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 17% | 33% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hetman Zamosc | Jarosław | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 29% |
| BTTS | 75% | 86% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 42% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 79% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hetman Zamosc | Jarosław | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 55% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 91% | 86% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Hetman Zamosc (H)D
Wisła Kraków II3–3
Wisła Kraków II3–3W
Moravia Morawica2–1
Moravia Morawica2–1L
Wiślanie Jaśkowice0–1
Wiślanie Jaśkowice0–1W
Star Starachowice3–0
Star Starachowice3–0D
Siarka Tarnobrzeg1–1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg1–1D
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów2–2
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów2–2Jarosław (A)LWiślanie Jaśkowice1–3
Wiślanie Jaśkowice1–3WSiarka Tarnobrzeg3–1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg3–1L
Wisłoka Dębica1–3
Wisłoka Dębica1–3L
Puszcza Niepołomice1–2
Puszcza Niepołomice1–2D
Stal Mielec2–2
Stal Mielec2–2W
Czarni Połaniec4–1
Czarni Połaniec4–1Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Hetman Zamosc
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Jarosław
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
18/02/25Hetman Zamosc
Jarosław
5–2Hetman Zamosc| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chełmianka Chełm | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |  KSZO 1929 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 | Czarni Połaniec | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 4 | Jarosław | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 16 |
| 5 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 16 |
| 6 | Wisłoka Dębica | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Naprzód | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Wisła Kraków II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 |  Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Busko-Zdroj | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 12 | Hetman Zamosc | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Sokół Kolb. | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 |  KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Korona Kielce II | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 5 |
Team Insights
Hetman Zamosc- ●Hetman Zamosc failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●65% of Hetman Zamosc's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●80% of Hetman Zamosc's points have been earned at home.
Jarosław- ●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Jarosław have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Jarosław have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●79% of Jarosław's goals have been scored at home.
- ●81% of Jarosław's points have been earned at home.
- ●Jarosław have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Hetman ZamoscDHWisła Kraków II3–3
Wisła Kraków II3–3LANaprzód2–4
Naprzód2–4WHMoravia Morawica2–1
Moravia Morawica2–1LAPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów2–4
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów2–4LHWiślanie Jaśkowice0–1
Wiślanie Jaśkowice0–1DAKorona Kielce II2–2
Korona Kielce II2–2–AKSZO 192927/09
KSZO 192927/09–HChełmianka Chełm04/10
Chełmianka Chełm04/10–HCzarni Połaniec11/10
Czarni Połaniec11/10JarosławWHPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5–2
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5–2LAWiślanie Jaśkowice1–3
Wiślanie Jaśkowice1–3WHKorona Kielce II6–2
Korona Kielce II6–2WHStar Starachowice3–0
Star Starachowice3–0WHPodlasie Biała Podlaska2–0
Podlasie Biała Podlaska2–0WASiarka Tarnobrzeg3–1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg3–1–AMoravia Morawica27/09
Moravia Morawica27/09–HNaprzód03/10
Naprzód03/10–AWisła Kraków II10/10
Wisła Kraków II10/10Top Scorers
Hetman ZamoscD. Skiba3 ⚽
K. Bartos2 ⚽
R. Serdyuk2 ⚽
D. Lepiarz1 ⚽
K. Posielski1 ⚽
J. Szymala1 ⚽
JarosławD. Fkhakadze7 ⚽
G. Janiczak4 ⚽
P. Mrozinski3 ⚽
B. Purcha3 ⚽
A. Prokic3 ⚽
S. Magdziak3 ⚽
Cards Given
Hetman ZamoscR. Serdiuk1 🟨
Jarosław1 🟨