Moravia Morawica vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg — III Liga - Group 4
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Moravia Morawica and Siarka Tarnobrzeg meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Moravia Morawica have recorded 2 wins from 14 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. Siarka Tarnobrzeg have won 44% of their 16 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.25 for Moravia Morawica and 1.80 for Siarka Tarnobrzeg. The models give Moravia Morawica a 29% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Siarka Tarnobrzeg win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Moravia Morawica | Home | Away | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 57% | 57% | 81% | 90% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 29% | 29% | 50% | 60% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 14% | 0% | 25% | 30% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 43% | 43% | 19% | 10% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Moravia Morawica | Home | Away | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 100% | 86% | 63% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 79% | 86% | 71% | 38% | 50% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 29% | 43% | 19% | 30% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 0% | 14% | 38% | 40% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Moravia Morawica | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 31% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Moravia Morawica | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 21% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 64% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 21% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 79% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 23 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +8 | 19 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 18 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 16 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 | |
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 8 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 | |
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 6 | |
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Moravia Morawica have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Moravia Morawica have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Moravia Morawica failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Moravia Morawica have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Moravia Morawica failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Moravia Morawica have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Moravia Morawica failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Moravia Morawica have lost 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●72% of Moravia Morawica's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Siarka Tarnobrzeg's goals have been scored away.