Jarosław vs Czarni Połaniec — III Liga - Group 4
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Jarosław and Czarni Połaniec meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Jarosław have recorded 7 wins from 15 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 2.47 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 87% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 87%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Czarni Połaniec have won 53% of their 15 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.97 for Jarosław and 1.41 for Czarni Połaniec. The models give Jarosław a 46% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Czarni Połaniec win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Jarosław | Home | Away | Czarni Połaniec | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 87% | 83% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 75% | 57% | 47% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 50% | 29% | 20% | 33% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 17% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Jarosław | Home | Away | Czarni Połaniec | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 75% | 100% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 63% | 71% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 29% | 20% | 33% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Jarosław | Czarni Połaniec | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 87% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 20% |
| BTTS | 87% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 80% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Jarosław | Czarni Połaniec | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 87% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 26 | |
| 2 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 19 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 19 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 19 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 17 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 17 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 8 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 7 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Jarosław have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Jarosław have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●73% of Jarosław's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Jarosław's points have been earned at home.
- ●Jarosław have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Czarni Połaniec have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Czarni Połaniec have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Czarni Połaniec have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Czarni Połaniec have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Czarni Połaniec have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●68% of Czarni Połaniec's points have been earned away.