Moravia Morawica vs Star Starachowice — III Liga - Group 4
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Moravia Morawica and Star Starachowice meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Moravia Morawica have recorded 2 wins from 17 matches this season (12% win rate), averaging 1.06 goals scored and 2.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. Star Starachowice have won 32% of their 25 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 76%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Moravia Morawica and 1.39 for Star Starachowice. The models give Moravia Morawica a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Star Starachowice win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Moravia Morawica | Home | Away | Star Starachowice | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 59% | 56% | 63% | 64% | 80% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 33% | 38% | 56% | 70% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 11% | 0% | 20% | 30% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 41% | 44% | 38% | 36% | 20% | 47% |
Goals Conceded
| Moravia Morawica | Home | Away | Star Starachowice | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 89% | 88% | 80% | 70% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 76% | 78% | 75% | 56% | 40% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 22% | 38% | 32% | 30% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 11% | 13% | 20% | 30% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Moravia Morawica | Star Starachowice | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 32% |
| BTTS | 53% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 24% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Moravia Morawica | Star Starachowice | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 53% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 24% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 68% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 76% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | +14 | 30 | |
| 2 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +12 | 23 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 | |
| 5 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 20 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 20 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 | |
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 17 | |
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 | |
| 11 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 | |
| 12 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 14 | |
| 13 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -1 | 13 | |
| 14 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 12 | |
| 16 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 | |
| 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 9 | |
| 18 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 8 |
Team Insights
- ●Moravia Morawica have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Moravia Morawica have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Moravia Morawica have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Moravia Morawica failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Moravia Morawica have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Moravia Morawica failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●68% of Moravia Morawica's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Star Starachowice have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Star Starachowice failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●64% of Star Starachowice's goals have been scored at home.
- ●74% of Star Starachowice's goals conceded were conceded away.