MatchPulse

Jarosław vs Chełmianka Chełm — III Liga - Group 4

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Jarosław
Jarosław
7º · 1.42 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 2h
vs
–
–
Chełmianka Chełm
Chełmianka Chełm
1º · 2.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 23h
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Jarosław and Chełmianka Chełm meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Jarosław have recorded 7 wins from 17 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 2.29 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 88% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 88%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. Chełmianka Chełm have won 59% of their 17 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 41%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Jarosław and 1.51 for Chełmianka Chełm. The models give Jarosław a 32% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Chełmianka Chełm win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 63%.

Season Statistics

Jarosław
—
Chełmianka Chełm
7º
Position
1º
1.42
PPG
2.50
42%
Win %
75%
2.33
Goals / game
1.67
1.83
Conceded / game
0.50
88%
BTTS %
53%
12%
Clean sheet %
41%
88%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Jarosław
Home (7)
—
Chełmianka Chełm
Away (6)
1.86
PPG
2.33
57%
Win %
67%
2.86
Goals / game
1.67
1.57
Conceded / game
0.33
78%
BTTS %
40%
22%
Clean sheet %
50%
78%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

JarosławHomeAwayChełmianka ChełmHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored100%100%100%88%100%80%
Over 1.5 Scored59%67%50%59%71%50%
Over 2.5 Scored35%44%25%6%0%10%
Failed To Score0%0%0%12%0%20%

Goals Conceded

JarosławHomeAwayChełmianka ChełmHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded88%78%100%59%71%50%
Over 1.5 Conceded71%67%75%29%0%50%
Over 2.5 Conceded18%11%25%12%0%20%
Clean Sheets12%22%0%41%29%50%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

JarosławChełmianka Chełm
Over 0.5100%94%
Over 1.5100%82%
Over 2.588%59%
Over 3.565%18%
Over 4.524%6%
BTTS88%53%
BTTS & Win29%24%
BTTS & Draw24%18%
BTTS & Over 2.582%47%
BTTS No & Over 2.56%12%

1st Half / 2nd Half

JarosławChełmianka Chełm
Win 1st Half35%47%
Draw 1st Half41%35%
Loss 1st Half24%18%
Scored 1st Half65%59%
Conceded 1st Half47%35%
Win 2nd Half41%24%
Draw 2nd Half35%76%
Loss 2nd Half24%0%
Scored 2nd Half76%65%
Conceded 2nd Half53%47%
Over 0.5 HT76%76%
Over 1.5 HT53%41%

Recent Venue Form

Jarosław (H)
LNaprzód1–3
WPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5–2
WKorona Kielce II6–2
WStar Starachowice3–0
WPodlasie Biała Podlaska2–0
LKS Wieczysta Krakow II1–2
Chełmianka Chełm (A)
DHetman Zamosc2–2
DKSZO 19290–0
WWisła Kraków II2–0
WNaprzód2–0
WMoravia Morawica3–0
WPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów1–0
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Chełmianka Chełm12930+1430
2KSZO 192912651+1223
3Naprzód12723+723
4Wisłoka Dębica12723+323
5Wiślanie Jaśkowice12624+720
6Czarni Połaniec12624+120
7Jarosław12525+617
8Hetman Zamosc12453+117
9Wisła Kraków II12444-216
10Korona Kielce II12426014
11Siarka Tarnobrzeg12426-414
12Busko-Zdroj12426-914
13Sokół Kolb.12273-113
14KS Wieczysta Krakow II12336-412
15Podlasie Biała Podlaska12336-712
16Star Starachowice12255-511
17Moravia Morawica12237-99
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów12228-108

Team Insights

Jarosław
  • ●Jarosław have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
  • ●Jarosław have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Jarosław have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Jarosław have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Jarosław have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●71% of Jarosław's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●76% of Jarosław's points have been earned at home.
  • ●Jarosław have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Chełmianka Chełm
  • ●Chełmianka Chełm have been undefeated in their last 12 matches.
  • ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Chełmianka Chełm have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Chełmianka Chełm have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Chełmianka Chełm failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Chełmianka Chełm have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Chełmianka Chełm have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.

Season Schedule

Jarosław
LAWisła Kraków II1–2
LHNaprzód1–3
DAMoravia Morawica2–2
WHPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5–2
LAWiślanie Jaśkowice1–3
WHKorona Kielce II6–2
–HKSZO 192917/10
–AHetman Zamosc25/10
–HCzarni Połaniec31/10
Chełmianka Chełm
WHStar Starachowice2–1
DAHetman Zamosc2–2
WHPodlasie Biała Podlaska2–1
DAKSZO 19290–0
DHSiarka Tarnobrzeg1–1
WAWisła Kraków II2–0
–ACzarni Połaniec17/10
–HKorona Kielce II24/10
–ABusko-Zdroj31/10

Top Scorers

Jarosław
D. Fkhakadze7 ⚽
G. Janiczak6 ⚽
P. Mrozinski3 ⚽
B. Purcha3 ⚽
A. Prokic3 ⚽
S. Magdziak3 ⚽
Chełmianka Chełm
P. Tomczyk5 ⚽
J. Kuzdra4 ⚽
K. Okoniewski3 ⚽
P. Cichocki2 ⚽
M. Banaszewski1 ⚽

Cards Given

Jarosław
1 🟨
Chełmianka Chełm