Czarni Połaniec vs Star Starachowice — III Liga - Group 4
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Czarni Połaniec and Star Starachowice meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 6 March 2027. Czarni Połaniec have recorded 9 wins from 20 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.45 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Star Starachowice have won 39% of their 28 matches, with 1.82 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Czarni Połaniec and 1.21 for Star Starachowice. The models give Czarni Połaniec a 49% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Star Starachowice win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Czarni Połaniec—
Star Starachowice6º
Position
10º
1.67
PPG
1.33
47%
Win %
33%
1.47
Goals / game
1.60
1.33
Conceded / game
1.60
55%
BTTS %
61%
30%
Clean sheet %
18%
45%
Over 2.5 %
79%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Czarni Połaniec
Home (7)
—
Star Starachowice
Away (8)
1.57
PPG
0.75
43%
Win %
13%
1.57
Goals / game
0.88
1.43
Conceded / game
1.88
56%
BTTS %
56%
33%
Clean sheet %
13%
56%
Over 2.5 %
81%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Czarni Połaniec | Home | Away | Star Starachowice | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 78% | 82% | 68% | 83% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 56% | 36% | 61% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 22% | 9% | 25% | 42% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 22% | 18% | 32% | 17% | 44% |
Goals Conceded
| Czarni Połaniec | Home | Away | Star Starachowice | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 67% | 73% | 82% | 75% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 33% | 36% | 54% | 42% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 22% | 9% | 32% | 33% | 31% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 27% | 18% | 25% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Czarni Połaniec | Star Starachowice | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 36% |
| BTTS | 55% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 32% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Czarni Połaniec | Star Starachowice | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Czarni Połaniec (H)W
Busko-Zdroj2–1
Busko-Zdroj2–1D
Chełmianka Chełm0–0
Chełmianka Chełm0–0D
KSZO 19291–1
KSZO 19291–1L
Naprzód2–5
Naprzód2–5W
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów3–0
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów3–0L
Podlasie Biała Podlaska0–2
Podlasie Biała Podlaska0–2Star Starachowice (A)W
Wiślanie Jaśkowice2–1
Wiślanie Jaśkowice2–1LChełmianka Chełm1–2
Chełmianka Chełm1–2DPodlasie Biała Podlaska2–2
Podlasie Biała Podlaska2–2D
KS Wieczysta Krakow II0–0
KS Wieczysta Krakow II0–0D
Sokół Kolb.0–0
Sokół Kolb.0–0L
Jarosław0–3
Jarosław0–3Head to Head · 9 matches
2
Czarni Połaniec
22%
2
Draws
22%
5
Star Starachowice
56%
100%
Over 1.5
9/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
44%
Over 3.5
4/9
56%
BTTS
5/9
19/08/26Czarni Połaniec
Star Starachowice
2–0Czarni Połaniec04/07/26Star Starachowice
Czarni Połaniec
2–0Star Starachowice16/05/26Star Starachowice
Czarni Połaniec
2–1Star Starachowice31/10/25Czarni Połaniec
Star Starachowice
3–2Czarni Połaniec26/04/25Star Starachowice
Czarni Połaniec
0–2Star Starachowice28/09/24Czarni Połaniec
Star Starachowice
4–1Czarni Połaniec16/03/24Czarni Połaniec
Star Starachowice
4–0Czarni Połaniec23/08/23Star Starachowice
Czarni Połaniec
1–1Star Starachowice15/07/23Star Starachowice
Czarni Połaniec
4–4Star Starachowice| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | +19 | 37 |
| 2 | KSZO 1929 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Wisłoka Dębica | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |  Hetman Zamosc | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +6 | 26 |
| 5 | Naprzód | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 25 |
| 6 | Czarni Połaniec | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 25 |
| 7 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +7 | 24 |
| 8 |  Wisła Kraków II | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 22 |
| 9 |  Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 21 |
| 10 | Star Starachowice | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 | Jarosław | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | +3 | 18 |
| 12 | Sokół Kolb. | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 |  Korona Kielce II | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Busko-Zdroj | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 14 |
| 16 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 13 |
| 17 |  Moravia Morawica | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 11 |
Team Insights
Czarni Połaniec- ●Czarni Połaniec have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Czarni Połaniec have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Czarni Połaniec failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Czarni Połaniec failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Czarni Połaniec have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Czarni Połaniec have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
Star Starachowice- ●Star Starachowice have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Star Starachowice failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Star Starachowice have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Star Starachowice have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Star Starachowice have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Star Starachowice failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Star Starachowice have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Star Starachowice failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Star Starachowice have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Star Starachowice failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●71% of Star Starachowice's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Czarni PołaniecDAJarosław2–2
Jarosław2–2WHBusko-Zdroj2–1
Busko-Zdroj2–1DHChełmianka Chełm0–0
Chełmianka Chełm0–0LAHetman Zamosc0–1
Hetman Zamosc0–1DHKSZO 19291–1
KSZO 19291–1DAWisła Kraków II1–1
Wisła Kraków II1–1–AKorona Kielce II22/08
Korona Kielce II22/08–HSokół Kolb.07/11
Sokół Kolb.07/11–AWisłoka Dębica13/11
Wisłoka Dębica13/11Star StarachowiceWHPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów4–3
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów4–3WAWiślanie Jaśkowice2–1
Wiślanie Jaśkowice2–1WHKorona Kielce II4–1
Korona Kielce II4–1LAChełmianka Chełm1–2
Chełmianka Chełm1–2DAPodlasie Biała Podlaska2–2
Podlasie Biała Podlaska2–2WHSiarka Tarnobrzeg4–1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg4–1–ABusko-Zdroj22/08
Busko-Zdroj22/08–AMoravia Morawica07/11
Moravia Morawica07/11–HNaprzód14/11
Naprzód14/11Top Scorers
Czarni PołaniecG. Platek5 ⚽
M. Banik4 ⚽
M. Smolen2 ⚽
S. Dzikowski2 ⚽
I. Kierys2 ⚽
A. Piatrenka2 ⚽
Star StarachowiceS. Stanislawski8 ⚽
A. Szynka6 ⚽
B. Boniecki3 ⚽
M. Jagiello2 ⚽
J. Karbownik2 ⚽
P. Stefanski2 ⚽
Cards Given
Czarni PołaniecD. Bawor2 🟨
Star StarachowiceA. Swigut1 🟨
1 🟨