Jarosław vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg — III Liga - Group 4
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Jarosław and Siarka Tarnobrzeg meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 6 March 2027. Jarosław have recorded 7 wins from 21 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 2.05 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 86% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 86%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Siarka Tarnobrzeg have won 42% of their 24 matches, with 1.83 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.05 for Jarosław and 1.54 for Siarka Tarnobrzeg. The models give Jarosław a 48% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Siarka Tarnobrzeg win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Jarosław—
Siarka Tarnobrzeg12º
Position
10º
1.13
PPG
1.31
31%
Win %
38%
2.00
Goals / game
1.44
1.88
Conceded / game
1.44
86%
BTTS %
54%
10%
Clean sheet %
33%
86%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Jarosław
Home (9)
—
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Away (9)
1.56
PPG
1.22
44%
Win %
33%
2.56
Goals / game
1.44
1.78
Conceded / game
1.78
82%
BTTS %
60%
18%
Clean sheet %
20%
82%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Jarosław | Home | Away | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 95% | 100% | 90% | 83% | 93% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 64% | 40% | 42% | 50% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 36% | 20% | 25% | 29% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 5% | 0% | 10% | 17% | 7% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Jarosław | Home | Away | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 82% | 100% | 67% | 57% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 71% | 73% | 70% | 42% | 43% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 18% | 20% | 21% | 21% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 18% | 0% | 33% | 43% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Jarosław | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 62% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 33% |
| BTTS | 86% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 81% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Jarosław | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 52% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Jarosław (H)D
Czarni Połaniec2–2
Czarni Połaniec2–2L
KSZO 19291–3
KSZO 19291–3L
Naprzód1–3
Naprzód1–3W
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5–2
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5–2W
Korona Kielce II6–2
Korona Kielce II6–2W
Star Starachowice3–0
Star Starachowice3–0Siarka Tarnobrzeg (A)L
Wisła Kraków II0–1
Wisła Kraków II0–1W
Moravia Morawica3–2
Moravia Morawica3–2L
Wiślanie Jaśkowice1–4
Wiślanie Jaśkowice1–4LStar Starachowice1–4
Star Starachowice1–4D
Chełmianka Chełm1–1
Chełmianka Chełm1–1W
KS Wieczysta Krakow II2–0
KS Wieczysta Krakow II2–0Head to Head · 1 matches
1
Jarosław
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
19/08/26Jarosław
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1–3Jarosław| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 40 |
| 2 | Czarni Połaniec | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 | KSZO 1929 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 29 |
| 4 |  Hetman Zamosc | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +8 | 29 |
| 5 |  Wisłoka Dębica | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +1 | 29 |
| 6 | Naprzód | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wisła Kraków II | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +1 | 25 |
| 8 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 | Star Starachowice | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Jarosław | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Busko-Zdroj | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -14 | 17 |
| 14 |  Sokół Kolb. | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Korona Kielce II | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 |  Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -15 | 13 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -10 | 12 |
| 18 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -13 | 12 |
Team Insights
Jarosław- ●Jarosław have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Jarosław have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in 9 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Jarosław have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●72% of Jarosław's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Jarosław's points have been earned at home.
- ●Jarosław have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg have scored in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●70% of Siarka Tarnobrzeg's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
JarosławLABusko-Zdroj1–2
Busko-Zdroj1–2DHCzarni Połaniec2–2
Czarni Połaniec2–2LAHetman Zamosc0–1
Hetman Zamosc0–1LHKSZO 19291–3
KSZO 19291–3LAWisła Kraków II1–2
Wisła Kraków II1–2LHNaprzód1–3
Naprzód1–3–HChełmianka Chełm14/11
Chełmianka Chełm14/11–ASokół Kolb.21/11
Sokół Kolb.21/11–HWisłoka Dębica29/11
Wisłoka Dębica29/11Siarka TarnobrzegLAWisła Kraków II0–1
Wisła Kraków II0–1DHNaprzód1–1
Naprzód1–1WAMoravia Morawica3–2
Moravia Morawica3–2WHPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów4–0
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów4–0LAWiślanie Jaśkowice1–4
Wiślanie Jaśkowice1–4LHKorona Kielce II1–2
Korona Kielce II1–2–HKSZO 192914/11
KSZO 192914/11–HHetman Zamosc21/11
Hetman Zamosc21/11–ACzarni Połaniec28/11
Czarni Połaniec28/11Top Scorers
JarosławD. Fkhakadze8 ⚽
G. Janiczak6 ⚽
S. Magdziak4 ⚽
P. Mrozinski3 ⚽
B. Purcha3 ⚽
A. Prokic3 ⚽
Siarka TarnobrzegP. Peciak7 ⚽
A. Maj3 ⚽
A. Kasia3 ⚽
B. Waclawek3 ⚽
K. Czapla3 ⚽
K. Misztal2 ⚽
Cards Given
Jarosław1 🟨
Siarka TarnobrzegP. Czerech3 🟨
B. Waclawek1 🟨
F. Zaczek1 🟨
T. Pytlak1 🟨
1 🟨