Busko-Zdroj vs Hetman Zamosc — III Liga - Group 4
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Busko-Zdroj and Hetman Zamosc meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Busko-Zdroj have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 2.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Hetman Zamosc have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Busko-Zdroj and 1.67 for Hetman Zamosc. The models give Busko-Zdroj a 43% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Hetman Zamosc win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Busko-Zdroj | Home | Away | Hetman Zamosc | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 67% | 83% | 91% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 33% | 17% | 55% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 17% | 17% | 9% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 33% | 17% | 9% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Busko-Zdroj | Home | Away | Hetman Zamosc | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 82% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 45% | 20% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 50% | 17% | 18% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 20% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Busko-Zdroj | Hetman Zamosc | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 18% |
| BTTS | 75% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Busko-Zdroj | Hetman Zamosc | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 22% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 67% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 89% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 83% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 22 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 18 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 16 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 13 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 | |
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 8 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 | |
| 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 6 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Busko-Zdroj failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●64% of Busko-Zdroj's goals have been scored away.
- ●Hetman Zamosc failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●79% of Hetman Zamosc's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●78% of Hetman Zamosc's points have been earned at home.