Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdroj — III Liga - Group 4
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Czarni Połaniec and Busko-Zdroj meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Czarni Połaniec have recorded 8 wins from 14 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.64 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Busko-Zdroj have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 1.46 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 77%, Over 2.5 at 77%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Czarni Połaniec and 1.50 for Busko-Zdroj. The models give Czarni Połaniec a 49% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Busko-Zdroj win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Czarni Połaniec | Home | Away | Busko-Zdroj | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 83% | 88% | 77% | 71% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 67% | 38% | 31% | 43% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 33% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 17% | 13% | 23% | 29% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Czarni Połaniec | Home | Away | Busko-Zdroj | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 67% | 63% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 50% | 38% | 46% | 43% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 33% | 13% | 31% | 43% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 33% | 38% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Czarni Połaniec | Busko-Zdroj | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 23% |
| BTTS | 50% | 77% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Czarni Połaniec | Busko-Zdroj | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 15% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 62% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 85% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 23 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +8 | 19 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 18 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 16 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 | |
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 8 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 | |
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 6 | |
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Czarni Połaniec have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Czarni Połaniec have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Czarni Połaniec have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Czarni Połaniec have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Czarni Połaniec's points have been earned away.
- ●Busko-Zdroj failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.