Busko-Zdroj vs Chełmianka Chełm — III Liga - Group 4
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Busko-Zdroj and Chełmianka Chełm meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Busko-Zdroj have recorded 4 wins from 14 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 79% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Chełmianka Chełm have won 60% of their 15 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.17 for Busko-Zdroj and 1.57 for Chełmianka Chełm. The models give Busko-Zdroj a 23% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Chełmianka Chełm win at 52%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Busko-Zdroj | Home | Away | Chełmianka Chełm | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 71% | 86% | 87% | 100% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 43% | 14% | 53% | 67% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 14% | 14% | 7% | 0% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 29% | 14% | 13% | 0% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Busko-Zdroj | Home | Away | Chełmianka Chełm | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 53% | 67% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 43% | 57% | 27% | 0% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 43% | 29% | 13% | 0% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 47% | 33% | 56% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Busko-Zdroj | Chełmianka Chełm | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 7% |
| BTTS | 79% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Busko-Zdroj | Chełmianka Chełm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 73% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 64% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 86% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 26 | |
| 2 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 19 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 19 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 19 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 17 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 17 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 8 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 7 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Busko-Zdroj failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Busko-Zdroj's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.