Busko-Zdroj vs Jarosław — III Liga - Group 4
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Busko-Zdroj and Jarosław meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Busko-Zdroj have recorded 5 wins from 16 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 2.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 81%; and clean sheets in 6% of games. Jarosław have won 41% of their 17 matches, with 2.29 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 88%, Over 2.5 at 88%, and clean sheets at 12%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.88 for Busko-Zdroj and 1.48 for Jarosław. The models give Busko-Zdroj a 46% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Jarosław win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Busko-Zdroj—
Jarosław12º
Position
7º
1.17
PPG
1.42
33%
Win %
42%
1.42
Goals / game
2.33
2.17
Conceded / game
1.83
69%
BTTS %
88%
6%
Clean sheet %
12%
81%
Over 2.5 %
88%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Busko-Zdroj
Home (5)
—
Jarosław
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
0.80
60%
Win %
20%
1.80
Goals / game
1.60
1.40
Conceded / game
2.20
63%
BTTS %
100%
13%
Clean sheet %
0%
88%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Busko-Zdroj | Home | Away | Jarosław | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 50% | 13% | 59% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 25% | 13% | 35% | 44% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Busko-Zdroj | Home | Away | Jarosław | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 94% | 88% | 100% | 88% | 78% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 38% | 63% | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 38% | 38% | 18% | 11% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 6% | 13% | 0% | 12% | 22% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Busko-Zdroj | Jarosław | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 81% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 24% |
| BTTS | 69% | 88% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 82% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Busko-Zdroj | Jarosław | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 65% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 63% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 76% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 81% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Busko-Zdroj (H)W
Wisła Kraków II3–0
Wisła Kraków II3–0W
Moravia Morawica2–1
Moravia Morawica2–1W
Wiślanie Jaśkowice2–1
Wiślanie Jaśkowice2–1L
Siarka Tarnobrzeg1–4
Siarka Tarnobrzeg1–4D
Wisłoka Dębica1–1
Wisłoka Dębica1–1W
Nieciecza6–1
Nieciecza6–1Jarosław (A)LWisła Kraków II1–2
Wisła Kraków II1–2DMoravia Morawica2–2
Moravia Morawica2–2LWiślanie Jaśkowice1–3
Wiślanie Jaśkowice1–3WSiarka Tarnobrzeg3–1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg3–1LWisłoka Dębica1–3
Wisłoka Dębica1–3L
Puszcza Niepołomice1–2
Puszcza Niepołomice1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chełmianka Chełm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | +14 | 30 |
| 2 |  KSZO 1929 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 |  Naprzód | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Wisłoka Dębica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Czarni Połaniec | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 7 | Jarosław | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 8 |  Hetman Zamosc | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 17 |
| 9 | Wisła Kraków II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 14 |
| 13 |  Sokół Kolb. | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 |  KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 |  Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 16 |  Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 8 |
Team Insights
Busko-Zdroj- ●Busko-Zdroj have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●73% of Busko-Zdroj's goals conceded were conceded away.
Jarosław- ●Jarosław have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Jarosław have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Jarosław have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●71% of Jarosław's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Jarosław's points have been earned at home.
- ●Jarosław have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Busko-ZdrojLAKSZO 19290–5
KSZO 19290–5WHWisła Kraków II3–0
Wisła Kraków II3–0LANaprzód1–4
Naprzód1–4WHMoravia Morawica2–1
Moravia Morawica2–1LAPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów1–2
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów1–2WHWiślanie Jaśkowice2–1
Wiślanie Jaśkowice2–1–HStar Starachowice22/08
Star Starachowice22/08–HHetman Zamosc18/10
Hetman Zamosc18/10–ACzarni Połaniec24/10
Czarni Połaniec24/10JarosławLAWisła Kraków II1–2
Wisła Kraków II1–2LHNaprzód1–3
Naprzód1–3DAMoravia Morawica2–2
Moravia Morawica2–2WHPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5–2
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5–2LAWiślanie Jaśkowice1–3
Wiślanie Jaśkowice1–3WHKorona Kielce II6–2
Korona Kielce II6–2–HKSZO 192917/10
KSZO 192917/10–AHetman Zamosc25/10
Hetman Zamosc25/10–HCzarni Połaniec31/10
Czarni Połaniec31/10Top Scorers
Busko-ZdrojM. Pokora3 ⚽
B. Sowa3 ⚽
K. Czepielik2 ⚽
K. Kaczowka2 ⚽
M. Kawecki2 ⚽
K. Czajkowski1 ⚽
JarosławD. Fkhakadze7 ⚽
G. Janiczak6 ⚽
P. Mrozinski3 ⚽
B. Purcha3 ⚽
A. Prokic3 ⚽
S. Magdziak3 ⚽
Cards Given
Busko-ZdrojJarosław1 🟨