Carina Gubin vs Sparta Katowice — III Liga - Group 3
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Carina Gubin and Sparta Katowice meet in the III Liga - Group 3 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Carina Gubin have recorded 3 wins from 16 matches this season (19% win rate), averaging 1.06 goals scored and 2.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 6% of games. Sparta Katowice have won 67% of their 15 matches, with 2.53 goals scored and 0.87 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Carina Gubin and 1.23 for Sparta Katowice. The models give Carina Gubin a 32% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Sparta Katowice win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Carina Gubin—
Sparta Katowice18º
Position
2º
0.56
PPG
2.22
11%
Win %
67%
0.67
Goals / game
1.78
2.11
Conceded / game
0.67
63%
BTTS %
53%
6%
Clean sheet %
33%
63%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Carina Gubin
Home (5)
—
Sparta Katowice
Away (3)
1.00
PPG
0.67
20%
Win %
0%
0.80
Goals / game
0.67
1.60
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Clean sheet %
17%
50%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Carina Gubin | Home | Away | Sparta Katowice | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 67% | 70% | 87% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 33% | 20% | 67% | 89% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 17% | 10% | 33% | 44% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 33% | 30% | 13% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Carina Gubin | Home | Away | Sparta Katowice | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 94% | 83% | 100% | 67% | 56% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 17% | 80% | 20% | 22% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 17% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 6% | 17% | 0% | 33% | 44% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Carina Gubin | Sparta Katowice | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 20% |
| BTTS | 63% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Carina Gubin | Sparta Katowice | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 54% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 53% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 73% | 23% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 54% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 67% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 77% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 73% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
Carina Gubin (H)D
Odra Bytom Odrzański1–1
Odra Bytom Odrzański1–1L
Barycz Sułów0–1
Barycz Sułów0–1L
Zaglebie Sosnowiec0–4
Zaglebie Sosnowiec0–4D
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra1–1
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra1–1W
Miedź Legnica II2–1
Miedź Legnica II2–1L
Polonia Nysa1–2
Polonia Nysa1–2Sparta Katowice (A)D
Rakow II1–1
Rakow II1–1D
Stal Brzeg1–1
Stal Brzeg1–1L
Zagłębie Lubin II0–1
Zagłębie Lubin II0–1W
Widzew II5–0
Widzew II5–0D
Tychy 712–2
Tychy 712–2WPolonia Nysa3–2
Polonia Nysa3–2Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Carina Gubin
0%
2
Draws
100%
0
Sparta Katowice
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
18/03/26Sparta Katowice
Carina Gubin
1–1Sparta Katowice16/08/25Carina Gubin
Sparta Katowice
1–1Carina Gubin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | Sparta Katowice | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 16 |
| 6 |  Górnik Polkowice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Kluczbork | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 9 |  Warta Gorzów | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Miedź Legnica II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 11 |
| 11 |  ROW Rybnik | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 12 | Stal Brzeg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 13 |  Goczałkowice Zdrój | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 |  Stilon Gorzów | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 15 | Rakow II | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 |  Ślęza Wrocław | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
| 17 | Polonia Nysa | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 5 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 5 |
Team Insights
Carina Gubin- ●Carina Gubin have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Carina Gubin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Carina Gubin have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Carina Gubin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Carina Gubin have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Carina Gubin have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Carina Gubin failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
Sparta Katowice- ●Sparta Katowice have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Sparta Katowice have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Sparta Katowice have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Sparta Katowice have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Sparta Katowice have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Sparta Katowice have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●88% of Sparta Katowice's goals have been scored at home.
- ●90% of Sparta Katowice's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Carina GubinLAZagłębie Lubin II0–3
Zagłębie Lubin II0–3DHOdra Bytom Odrzański1–1
Odra Bytom Odrzański1–1LAGórnik Polkowice1–2
Górnik Polkowice1–2LHBarycz Sułów0–1
Barycz Sułów0–1LHZaglebie Sosnowiec0–4
Zaglebie Sosnowiec0–4LAROW Rybnik0–4
ROW Rybnik0–4–HStilon Gorzów26/09
Stilon Gorzów26/09–AStal Brzeg03/10
Stal Brzeg03/10–HGoczałkowice Zdrój10/10
Goczałkowice Zdrój10/10Sparta KatowiceWHKluczbork2–1
Kluczbork2–1DARakow II1–1
Rakow II1–1WHPolonia Nysa4–0
Polonia Nysa4–0WHZaglebie Sosnowiec1–0
Zaglebie Sosnowiec1–0WHŚlęza Wrocław3–0
Ślęza Wrocław3–0WHGoczałkowice Zdrój2–1
Goczałkowice Zdrój2–1–AMiedź Legnica II26/09
Miedź Legnica II26/09–HWarta Gorzów03/10
Warta Gorzów03/10–AKarkonosze Jelenia Góra10/10
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra10/10Top Scorers
Carina Gubin2 ⚽
Elorhan1 ⚽
M. Szela1 ⚽
P. Bednarczyk1 ⚽
P. Haraszkiewicz1 ⚽
Sparta KatowiceM. Michalski4 ⚽
R. Wolsztynski4 ⚽
R. Wozniak3 ⚽
J. Musial3 ⚽
F. Zagiel2 ⚽
T. Klis2 ⚽
Cards Given
Carina GubinSparta Katowice1 🟨