Polonia Nysa vs Carina Gubin — III Liga - Group 3
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Polonia Nysa and Carina Gubin meet in the III Liga - Group 3 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Polonia Nysa have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 2.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. Carina Gubin have won 18% of their 17 matches, with 1.06 goals scored and 2.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 6%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.86 for Polonia Nysa and 1.37 for Carina Gubin. The models give Polonia Nysa a 46% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Carina Gubin win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Polonia Nysa—
Carina Gubin16º
Position
18º
0.80
PPG
0.50
20%
Win %
10%
1.10
Goals / game
0.70
2.20
Conceded / game
2.20
53%
BTTS %
65%
7%
Clean sheet %
6%
67%
Over 2.5 %
65%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Polonia Nysa
Home (5)
—
Carina Gubin
Away (4)
0.80
PPG
0.00
20%
Win %
0%
1.40
Goals / game
0.50
2.20
Conceded / game
2.75
80%
BTTS %
70%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
80%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Polonia Nysa | Home | Away | Carina Gubin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 80% | 50% | 71% | 71% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 40% | 30% | 24% | 29% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 20% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 20% | 50% | 29% | 29% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Polonia Nysa | Home | Away | Carina Gubin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 100% | 90% | 94% | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 73% | 100% | 60% | 59% | 29% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 20% | 40% | 35% | 29% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 0% | 10% | 6% | 14% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Polonia Nysa | Carina Gubin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 18% |
| BTTS | 53% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Polonia Nysa | Carina Gubin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 69% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 31% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 86% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Polonia Nysa (H)L
Rakow II0–2
Rakow II0–2L
Zaglebie Sosnowiec1–2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec1–2L
Ślęza Wrocław1–3
Ślęza Wrocław1–3W
Stal Brzeg3–2
Stal Brzeg3–2D
Zagłębie Lubin II2–2
Zagłębie Lubin II2–2L
Sparta Katowice2–3
Sparta Katowice2–3Carina Gubin (A)LZagłębie Lubin II0–3
Zagłębie Lubin II0–3L
Górnik Polkowice1–2
Górnik Polkowice1–2L
ROW Rybnik0–4
ROW Rybnik0–4L
Warta Gorzów1–2
Warta Gorzów1–2D
Stilon Gorzów1–1
Stilon Gorzów1–1W
Lechia Zielona Góra3–2
Lechia Zielona Góra3–2Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Polonia Nysa
50%
1
Draws
25%
1
Carina Gubin
25%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
75%
Over 2.5
3/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
30/05/26Polonia Nysa
Carina Gubin
1–2Polonia Nysa14/11/25Carina Gubin
Polonia Nysa
2–2Carina Gubin04/03/23Polonia Nysa
Carina Gubin
1–0Polonia Nysa06/08/22Carina Gubin
Polonia Nysa
4–1Carina Gubin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Katowice | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |  Odra Bytom Odrzański | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 23 |
| 3 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +10 | 22 |
| 4 |  Barycz Sułów | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 16 |
| 6 |  Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 | ROW Rybnik | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 14 |
| 8 | Górnik Polkowice | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Stilon Gorzów | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 | Warta Gorzów | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 |  Kluczbork | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 12 |  Miedź Legnica II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 11 |
| 13 | Stal Brzeg | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 14 |  Goczałkowice Zdrój | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Rakow II | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 | Polonia Nysa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 17 | Ślęza Wrocław | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
Polonia Nysa- ●Polonia Nysa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Polonia Nysa have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Polonia Nysa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Polonia Nysa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Polonia Nysa failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Polonia Nysa failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●64% of Polonia Nysa's goals have been scored at home.
Carina Gubin- ●Carina Gubin have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Carina Gubin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Carina Gubin have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Carina Gubin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Carina Gubin have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Carina Gubin have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Carina Gubin failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
Season Schedule
Polonia NysaWAKluczbork3–1
Kluczbork3–1LHRakow II0–2
Rakow II0–2LHZaglebie Sosnowiec1–2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec1–2LASparta Katowice0–4
Sparta Katowice0–4LHŚlęza Wrocław1–3
Ślęza Wrocław1–3LAGoczałkowice Zdrój0–2
Goczałkowice Zdrój0–2–HMiedź Legnica II02/10
Miedź Legnica II02/10–AWarta Gorzów10/10
Warta Gorzów10/10–HKarkonosze Jelenia Góra17/10
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra17/10Carina GubinLHStilon Gorzów1–3
Stilon Gorzów1–3LAZagłębie Lubin II0–3
Zagłębie Lubin II0–3DHOdra Bytom Odrzański1–1
Odra Bytom Odrzański1–1LAGórnik Polkowice1–2
Górnik Polkowice1–2LHBarycz Sułów0–1
Barycz Sułów0–1LHZaglebie Sosnowiec0–4
Zaglebie Sosnowiec0–4–AStal Brzeg03/10
Stal Brzeg03/10–HGoczałkowice Zdrój10/10
Goczałkowice Zdrój10/10–AŚlęza Wrocław17/10
Ślęza Wrocław17/10Top Scorers
Polonia NysaM. Zimon2 ⚽
K. Lyszczarczyk1 ⚽
M. Ceesay1 ⚽
J. Korzeniewicz1 ⚽
P. Kupczak1 ⚽
Trialist1 ⚽
Carina Gubin2 ⚽
Elorhan1 ⚽
M. Szela1 ⚽
P. Bednarczyk1 ⚽
P. Haraszkiewicz1 ⚽
Cards Given
Polonia Nysa1 🟨
Carina Gubin