Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów — III Liga - Group 3
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Carina Gubin and Warta Gorzów meet in the III Liga - Group 3 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Carina Gubin have recorded 5 wins from 20 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Warta Gorzów have won 21% of their 19 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Carina Gubin and 1.34 for Warta Gorzów. The models give Carina Gubin a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Warta Gorzów win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Carina Gubin—
Warta Gorzów17º
Position
14º
0.92
PPG
1.08
23%
Win %
23%
0.85
Goals / game
1.00
1.77
Conceded / game
1.62
60%
BTTS %
63%
15%
Clean sheet %
21%
60%
Over 2.5 %
42%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Carina Gubin
Home (7)
—
Warta Gorzów
Away (7)
0.86
PPG
0.86
14%
Win %
14%
0.71
Goals / game
1.29
1.57
Conceded / game
2.29
50%
BTTS %
73%
25%
Clean sheet %
18%
50%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Carina Gubin | Home | Away | Warta Gorzów | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 63% | 75% | 79% | 63% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 21% | 13% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 13% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 38% | 25% | 21% | 38% | 9% |
Goals Conceded
| Carina Gubin | Home | Away | Warta Gorzów | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 75% | 92% | 79% | 75% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 25% | 67% | 42% | 13% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 25% | 33% | 26% | 0% | 45% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 25% | 8% | 21% | 25% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Carina Gubin | Warta Gorzów | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 21% |
| BTTS | 60% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 37% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Carina Gubin | Warta Gorzów | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 37% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 16% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 53% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 58% | 37% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 32% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Carina Gubin (H)D
Goczałkowice Zdrój0–0
Goczałkowice Zdrój0–0L
Stilon Gorzów1–3
Stilon Gorzów1–3D
Odra Bytom Odrzański1–1
Odra Bytom Odrzański1–1L
Barycz Sułów0–1
Barycz Sułów0–1L
Zaglebie Sosnowiec0–4
Zaglebie Sosnowiec0–4D
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra1–1
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra1–1Warta Gorzów (A)L
Rakow II2–3
Rakow II2–3D
Sparta Katowice1–1
Sparta Katowice1–1LGoczałkowice Zdrój1–4
Goczałkowice Zdrój1–4DStilon Gorzów1–1
Stilon Gorzów1–1WOdra Bytom Odrzański1–0
Odra Bytom Odrzański1–0DBarycz Sułów2–2
Barycz Sułów2–2Head to Head · 12 matches
3
Carina Gubin
25%
2
Draws
17%
7
Warta Gorzów
58%
67%
Over 1.5
8/12
50%
Over 2.5
6/12
17%
Over 3.5
2/12
58%
BTTS
7/12
08/08/26Carina Gubin
Warta Gorzów
2–1Carina Gubin11/07/26Carina Gubin
Warta Gorzów
1–1Carina Gubin14/03/26Warta Gorzów
Carina Gubin
1–3Warta Gorzów27/08/25Carina Gubin
Warta Gorzów
1–1Carina Gubin12/04/25Warta Gorzów
Carina Gubin
0–1Warta Gorzów14/09/24Carina Gubin
Warta Gorzów
1–2Carina Gubin24/05/24Warta Gorzów
Carina Gubin
0–1Warta Gorzów04/11/23Carina Gubin
Warta Gorzów
2–1Carina Gubin01/04/23Carina Gubin
Warta Gorzów
2–3Carina Gubin27/08/22Warta Gorzów
Carina Gubin
3–0Warta Gorzów16/04/22Carina Gubin
Warta Gorzów
1–0Carina Gubin07/09/21Warta Gorzów
Carina Gubin
0–1Warta Gorzów| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 31 |
| 2 | Sparta Katowice | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 27 |
| 3 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 25 |
| 4 |  Zagłębie Lubin II | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 5 | Barycz Sułów | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  ROW Rybnik | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 |  Górnik Polkowice | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 |  Miedź Legnica II | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 | Stilon Gorzów | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Stal Brzeg | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 15 |
| 12 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 |  Kluczbork | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | -6 | 15 |
| 14 | Warta Gorzów | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 14 |
| 15 | Rakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 |  Polonia Nysa | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | Carina Gubin | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 12 |
| 18 |  Ślęza Wrocław | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 10 |
Team Insights
Carina Gubin- ●Carina Gubin have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Carina Gubin have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Carina Gubin have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Carina Gubin failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carina Gubin failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Carina Gubin have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Carina Gubin have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Warta Gorzów- ●Warta Gorzów have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Warta Gorzów failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Warta Gorzów have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Warta Gorzów failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Warta Gorzów failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Warta Gorzów have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●69% of Warta Gorzów's goals have been scored away.
- ●76% of Warta Gorzów's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Carina GubinWAŚlęza Wrocław3–1
Ślęza Wrocław3–1DHGoczałkowice Zdrój0–0
Goczałkowice Zdrój0–0WAStal Brzeg1–0
Stal Brzeg1–0LHStilon Gorzów1–3
Stilon Gorzów1–3LAZagłębie Lubin II0–3
Zagłębie Lubin II0–3DHOdra Bytom Odrzański1–1
Odra Bytom Odrzański1–1–HSparta Katowice24/10
Sparta Katowice24/10–APolonia Nysa31/10
Polonia Nysa31/10–HRakow II07/11
Rakow II07/11Warta GorzówLARakow II2–3
Rakow II2–3LHPolonia Nysa0–1
Polonia Nysa0–1DASparta Katowice1–1
Sparta Katowice1–1DHŚlęza Wrocław1–1
Ślęza Wrocław1–1LAGoczałkowice Zdrój1–4
Goczałkowice Zdrój1–4WHStal Brzeg1–0
Stal Brzeg1–0–HKluczbork24/10
Kluczbork24/10–AMiedź Legnica II30/10
Miedź Legnica II30/10–AZaglebie Sosnowiec07/11
Zaglebie Sosnowiec07/11Top Scorers
Carina GubinP. Haraszkiewicz3 ⚽
M. Szela2 ⚽
2 ⚽
Elorhan1 ⚽
O. Jakuc1 ⚽
P. Bednarczyk1 ⚽
Warta GorzówK. Rybicki3 ⚽
F. Tuliszka3 ⚽
D. Siwinski2 ⚽
M. Goral1 ⚽
A. Dziuniak1 ⚽
M. Ignasiak1 ⚽