Olimpia Elbląg vs Jagiellonia II — III Liga - Group 1
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Olimpia Elbląg and Jagiellonia II meet in the III Liga - Group 1 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Olimpia Elbląg have recorded 8 wins from 18 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.72 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Jagiellonia II have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 2.45 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 82%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Olimpia Elbląg and 1.72 for Jagiellonia II. The models give Olimpia Elbląg a 36% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Jagiellonia II win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Olimpia Elbląg | Home | Away | Jagiellonia II | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 89% | 89% | 91% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 56% | 33% | 73% | 60% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 33% | 0% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Olimpia Elbląg | Home | Away | Jagiellonia II | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 56% | 89% | 91% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 56% | 44% | 64% | 40% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 11% | 11% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 44% | 11% | 9% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Olimpia Elbląg | Jagiellonia II | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 36% |
| BTTS | 61% | 82% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Olimpia Elbląg | Jagiellonia II | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 56% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 11% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 61% | 73% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 82% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 82% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +16 | 25 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 | |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 13 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 | |
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 6 | |
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 5 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●Olimpia Elbląg have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Olimpia Elbląg have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Olimpia Elbląg have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Olimpia Elbląg have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Olimpia Elbląg failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Olimpia Elbląg have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Jagiellonia II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Jagiellonia II have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Jagiellonia II have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Jagiellonia II failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●67% of Jagiellonia II's goals have been scored at home.