Warta Sieradz vs Pelikan Łowicz — III Liga - Group 1
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Warta Sieradz and Pelikan Łowicz meet in the III Liga - Group 1 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Warta Sieradz have recorded 9 wins from 16 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 2.25 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 88%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Pelikan Łowicz have won 46% of their 13 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.84 for Warta Sieradz and 1.43 for Pelikan Łowicz. The models give Warta Sieradz a 51% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Pelikan Łowicz win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Warta Sieradz—
Pelikan Łowicz7º
Position
4º
1.56
PPG
1.78
44%
Win %
56%
1.89
Goals / game
1.44
1.67
Conceded / game
1.22
69%
BTTS %
62%
25%
Clean sheet %
15%
88%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Warta Sieradz
Home (5)
—
Pelikan Łowicz
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
0.75
20%
Win %
25%
1.80
Goals / game
0.50
2.20
Conceded / game
1.50
60%
BTTS %
40%
30%
Clean sheet %
20%
90%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Warta Sieradz | Home | Away | Pelikan Łowicz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 90% | 100% | 77% | 88% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 70% | 50% | 38% | 50% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 40% | 33% | 15% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 10% | 0% | 23% | 13% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Warta Sieradz | Home | Away | Pelikan Łowicz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 70% | 83% | 85% | 88% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 50% | 33% | 38% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 20% | 17% | 23% | 13% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 30% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Warta Sieradz | Pelikan Łowicz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 88% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 23% |
| BTTS | 69% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 69% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Warta Sieradz | Pelikan Łowicz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 75% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Warta Sieradz (H)D
Olimpia Zambrów2–2
Olimpia Zambrów2–2W
Olimpia Elbląg4–1
Olimpia Elbląg4–1L
Ząbkovia Ząbki0–4
Ząbkovia Ząbki0–4D
Jagiellonia II2–2
Jagiellonia II2–2L
Mławianka Mława1–2
Mławianka Mława1–2W
Sokół Aleksandrów3–0
Sokół Aleksandrów3–0Pelikan Łowicz (A)LOlimpia Elbląg0–1
Olimpia Elbląg0–1LZąbkovia Ząbki1–2
Ząbkovia Ząbki1–2LJagiellonia II0–3
Jagiellonia II0–3WMławianka Mława1–0
Mławianka Mława1–0L
Wisła Płock II2–3
Wisła Płock II2–3L
Victoria Sulejówek0–1
Victoria Sulejówek0–1Head to Head · 6 matches
2
Warta Sieradz
33%
0
Draws
0%
4
Pelikan Łowicz
67%
100%
Over 1.5
6/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
50%
Over 3.5
3/6
50%
BTTS
3/6
16/03/25Warta Sieradz
Pelikan Łowicz
1–2Warta Sieradz21/08/24Pelikan Łowicz
Warta Sieradz
0–5Pelikan Łowicz19/05/24Warta Sieradz
Pelikan Łowicz
3–2Warta Sieradz28/10/23Pelikan Łowicz
Warta Sieradz
2–0Pelikan Łowicz19/03/23Warta Sieradz
Pelikan Łowicz
2–0Warta Sieradz17/08/22Pelikan Łowicz
Warta Sieradz
2–3Pelikan Łowicz| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Weszlo | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +16 | 25 |
| 2 |  Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 3 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 | Pelikan Łowicz | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Wisła Płock II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 6 | Jagiellonia II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 7 | Warta Sieradz | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |  Swit | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Widzew II | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 13 |
| 10 |  Wigry Suwałki | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 11 | Olimpia Zambrów | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  ŁKS Łódź II | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Olimpia Elbląg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 |  Troszyn | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 |  Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 5 |
| 17 | Mławianka Mława | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 |
| 18 |  Łomża | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 3 |
Team Insights
Warta Sieradz- ●Warta Sieradz have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Warta Sieradz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Warta Sieradz have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Warta Sieradz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Warta Sieradz have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Warta Sieradz failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●73% of Warta Sieradz's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●64% of Warta Sieradz's points have been earned away.
Pelikan Łowicz- ●Pelikan Łowicz have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Pelikan Łowicz have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Pelikan Łowicz have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Pelikan Łowicz failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●85% of Pelikan Łowicz's goals have been scored at home.
- ●81% of Pelikan Łowicz's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Warta SieradzDHOlimpia Zambrów2–2
Olimpia Zambrów2–2WAPolonia Lidzbark Warm.2–1
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.2–1WHOlimpia Elbląg4–1
Olimpia Elbląg4–1LASwit1–2
Swit1–2LHZąbkovia Ząbki0–4
Ząbkovia Ząbki0–4WATroszyn4–1
Troszyn4–1–AWidzew II27/09
Widzew II27/09–HMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki03/10
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki03/10–HWigry Suwałki09/10
Wigry Suwałki09/10Pelikan ŁowiczWHPolonia Lidzbark Warm.1–0
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.1–0LAOlimpia Elbląg0–1
Olimpia Elbląg0–1WHSwit4–1
Swit4–1LAZąbkovia Ząbki1–2
Ząbkovia Ząbki1–2DHTroszyn1–1
Troszyn1–1LAJagiellonia II0–3
Jagiellonia II0–3–AOlimpia Zambrów26/09
Olimpia Zambrów26/09–HWidzew II03/10
Widzew II03/10–AMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki10/10
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki10/10Top Scorers
Warta SieradzT. Swedrowski5 ⚽
B. Krecichwost3 ⚽
P. Mocny2 ⚽
S. Pietrzak2 ⚽
J. Piela2 ⚽
M. Lis2 ⚽
Pelikan ŁowiczP. Gierach4 ⚽
K. Supera3 ⚽
M. Czeczko3 ⚽
P. Pierzak2 ⚽
D. Dziegielewski1 ⚽
M. Czekala1 ⚽
Cards Given
Warta SieradzM. Zyla1 🟨
Pelikan Łowicz