Mławianka Mława vs Warta Sieradz — III Liga - Group 1
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Mławianka Mława and Warta Sieradz meet in the III Liga - Group 1 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Mławianka Mława have recorded 8 wins from 18 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 2.39 goals scored and 2.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 78% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Warta Sieradz have won 55% of their 20 matches, with 2.05 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Mławianka Mława and 1.87 for Warta Sieradz. The models give Mławianka Mława a 30% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Warta Sieradz win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Mławianka Mława—
Warta Sieradz15º
Position
8º
1.00
PPG
1.62
31%
Win %
46%
2.00
Goals / game
1.69
2.77
Conceded / game
1.54
78%
BTTS %
70%
11%
Clean sheet %
25%
83%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Mławianka Mława
Home (6)
—
Warta Sieradz
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
2.40
33%
Win %
80%
1.83
Goals / game
1.80
2.17
Conceded / game
0.80
70%
BTTS %
71%
10%
Clean sheet %
29%
80%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Mławianka Mława | Home | Away | Warta Sieradz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 80% | 88% | 95% | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 80% | 50% | 55% | 62% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 60% | 38% | 30% | 31% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 20% | 13% | 5% | 8% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Mławianka Mława | Home | Away | Warta Sieradz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 90% | 88% | 75% | 77% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 72% | 70% | 75% | 40% | 46% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 39% | 20% | 63% | 20% | 23% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 10% | 13% | 25% | 23% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mławianka Mława | Warta Sieradz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 72% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 67% | 25% |
| BTTS | 78% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 39% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 78% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mławianka Mława | Warta Sieradz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 56% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 69% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Mławianka Mława (H)W
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.3–2
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.3–2L
Swit2–4
Swit2–4W
Troszyn4–1
Troszyn4–1L
ŁKS Łódź II0–2
ŁKS Łódź II0–2L
Lechia T. Mazowiecki2–3
Lechia T. Mazowiecki2–3L
Pelikan Łowicz0–1
Pelikan Łowicz0–1Warta Sieradz (A)W
Widzew II1–0
Widzew II1–0WPolonia Lidzbark Warm.2–1
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.2–1LSwit1–2
Swit1–2WTroszyn4–1
Troszyn4–1WŁKS Łódź II1–0
ŁKS Łódź II1–0W
Kluczbork3–1
Kluczbork3–1Head to Head · 9 matches
3
Mławianka Mława
33%
1
Draws
11%
5
Warta Sieradz
56%
100%
Over 1.5
9/9
67%
Over 2.5
6/9
44%
Over 3.5
4/9
44%
BTTS
4/9
01/08/26Mławianka Mława
Warta Sieradz
1–2Mławianka Mława28/02/26Warta Sieradz
Mławianka Mława
2–3Warta Sieradz15/08/25Mławianka Mława
Warta Sieradz
3–0Mławianka Mława24/05/25Warta Sieradz
Mławianka Mława
4–0Warta Sieradz02/11/24Mławianka Mława
Warta Sieradz
2–0Mławianka Mława08/06/24Mławianka Mława
Warta Sieradz
0–2Mławianka Mława18/11/23Warta Sieradz
Mławianka Mława
1–3Warta Sieradz29/04/23Warta Sieradz
Mławianka Mława
0–2Warta Sieradz24/09/22Mławianka Mława
Warta Sieradz
2–2Mławianka Mława| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Weszlo | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +17 | 32 |
| 2 |  Wigry Suwałki | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +14 | 28 |
| 3 | Swit | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 23 |
| 4 | Pelikan Łowicz | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 21 |
| 6 |  Wisła Płock II | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Ząbkovia Ząbki | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 | Warta Sieradz | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Olimpia Zambrów | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  Olimpia Elbląg | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 |  Jagiellonia II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Widzew II | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | ŁKS Łódź II | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 | Mławianka Mława | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 13 |
| 16 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 12 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 |  Łomża | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 3 |
Team Insights
Mławianka Mława- ●Mławianka Mława failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Mławianka Mława have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Mławianka Mława have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Mławianka Mława failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Mławianka Mława have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Mławianka Mława have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Mławianka Mława failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Mławianka Mława have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Mławianka Mława failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Mławianka Mława have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
Warta Sieradz- ●Warta Sieradz have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Warta Sieradz have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Warta Sieradz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Warta Sieradz have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Warta Sieradz have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Warta Sieradz have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Warta Sieradz failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Warta Sieradz have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Warta Sieradz have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Warta Sieradz have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●80% of Warta Sieradz's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Mławianka MławaWHPolonia Lidzbark Warm.3–2
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.3–2LAOlimpia Elbląg1–2
Olimpia Elbląg1–2LHSwit2–4
Swit2–4WAZąbkovia Ząbki4–3
Ząbkovia Ząbki4–3WHTroszyn4–1
Troszyn4–1LAJagiellonia II4–7
Jagiellonia II4–7–AOlimpia Zambrów24/10
Olimpia Zambrów24/10–HWidzew II31/10
Widzew II31/10–AMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki08/11
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki08/11Warta SieradzWAWidzew II1–0
Widzew II1–0WHWisła Płock II2–1
Wisła Płock II2–1LHWigry Suwałki1–3
Wigry Suwałki1–3DHMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki1–1
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki1–1DHOlimpia Zambrów2–2
Olimpia Zambrów2–2WAPolonia Lidzbark Warm.2–1
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.2–1–HPelikan Łowicz24/10
Pelikan Łowicz24/10–AWeszlo31/10
Weszlo31/10–HLechia T. Mazowiecki06/11
Lechia T. Mazowiecki06/11Top Scorers
Mławianka MławaT. Rojkowski11 ⚽
M. Stryjewski5 ⚽
Trialist2 ⚽
K. Zielski2 ⚽
G. Kirejczyk1 ⚽
D. Slesicki1 ⚽
Warta SieradzT. Swedrowski5 ⚽
B. Krecichwost4 ⚽
B. Bieronski3 ⚽
M. Lis3 ⚽
O. Trubnikov2 ⚽
J. Piela2 ⚽
Cards Given
Mławianka Mława1 🟨
Warta SieradzM. Zyla1 🟨