Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Olimpia Elbląg — III Liga - Group 1
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. and Olimpia Elbląg meet in the III Liga - Group 1 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 80% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. Olimpia Elbląg have won 43% of their 23 matches, with 1.61 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Polonia Lidzbark Warm. and 1.55 for Olimpia Elbląg. The models give Polonia Lidzbark Warm. a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Olimpia Elbląg win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.—
Olimpia Elbląg13º
Position
10º
1.07
PPG
1.29
29%
Win %
36%
1.71
Goals / game
1.36
1.93
Conceded / game
1.57
80%
BTTS %
61%
7%
Clean sheet %
30%
73%
Over 2.5 %
48%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Home (8)
—
Olimpia Elbląg
Away (6)
1.13
PPG
1.33
25%
Win %
33%
1.75
Goals / game
1.50
1.63
Conceded / game
1.67
78%
BTTS %
73%
11%
Clean sheet %
18%
67%
Over 2.5 %
36%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Polonia Lidzbark | Home | Away | Olimpia Elbląg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 89% | 83% | 87% | 83% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 44% | 67% | 43% | 50% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 11% | 17% | 13% | 17% | 9% |
Goals Conceded
| Polonia Lidzbark | Home | Away | Olimpia Elbląg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 89% | 100% | 70% | 58% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 67% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 11% | 50% | 9% | 8% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 11% | 0% | 30% | 42% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Polonia Lidzbark | Olimpia Elbląg | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 13% |
| BTTS | 80% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Polonia Lidzbark | Olimpia Elbląg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 48% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 53% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 65% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 73% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 48% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Polonia Lidzbark (H)W
ŁKS Łódź II3–0
ŁKS Łódź II3–0W
Łomża3–2
Łomża3–2D
Weszlo1–1
Weszlo1–1L
Warta Sieradz1–2
Warta Sieradz1–2D
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki2–2
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki2–2L
Olimpia Zambrów2–3
Olimpia Zambrów2–3Olimpia Elbląg (A)DŁKS Łódź II1–1
ŁKS Łódź II1–1WŁomża2–0
Łomża2–0LWeszlo1–2
Weszlo1–2LWarta Sieradz1–4
Warta Sieradz1–4DMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki2–2
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki2–2WOlimpia Zambrów2–1
Olimpia Zambrów2–1Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Polonia Lidzbark
33%
0
Draws
0%
2
Olimpia Elbląg
67%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
07/08/26Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Olimpia Elbląg
4–2Polonia Lidzbark Warm.15/07/26Olimpia Elbląg
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
0–2Olimpia Elbląg14/07/24Olimpia Elbląg
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
2–1Olimpia Elbląg| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 32 |
| 2 |  Wigry Suwałki | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 31 |
| 3 |  Swit | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +8 | 26 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 24 |
| 5 |  Pelikan Łowicz | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Wisła Płock II | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 22 |
| 7 |  Ząbkovia Ząbki | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 | Warta Sieradz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 | Olimpia Zambrów | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 21 |
| 10 | Olimpia Elbląg | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 |  Jagiellonia II | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 |  Widzew II | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 | ŁKS Łódź II | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 |  Mławianka Mława | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 |  Troszyn | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -15 | 11 |
| 18 | Łomża | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 3 |
Team Insights
Polonia Lidzbark- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Olimpia Elbląg- ●Olimpia Elbląg have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Olimpia Elbląg have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Olimpia Elbląg failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Olimpia Elbląg have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Olimpia Elbląg failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Olimpia Elbląg have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Olimpia Elbląg have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Polonia LidzbarkWHŁKS Łódź II3–0
ŁKS Łódź II3–0LAMławianka Mława2–3
Mławianka Mława2–3WHŁomża3–2
Łomża3–2WALechia T. Mazowiecki2–1
Lechia T. Mazowiecki2–1DHWeszlo1–1
Weszlo1–1LAPelikan Łowicz0–1
Pelikan Łowicz0–1–AJagiellonia II30/10
Jagiellonia II30/10–HTroszyn07/11
Troszyn07/11–AZąbkovia Ząbki14/11
Ząbkovia Ząbki14/11Olimpia ElblągDHJagiellonia II0–0
Jagiellonia II0–0DAŁKS Łódź II1–1
ŁKS Łódź II1–1WHMławianka Mława2–1
Mławianka Mława2–1WAŁomża2–0
Łomża2–0LHLechia T. Mazowiecki1–2
Lechia T. Mazowiecki1–2LAWeszlo1–2
Weszlo1–2–ATroszyn31/10
Troszyn31/10–HZąbkovia Ząbki07/11
Ząbkovia Ząbki07/11–ASwit14/11
Swit14/11Top Scorers
Polonia LidzbarkJ. Stawski4 ⚽
M. Kuzimski4 ⚽
A. Balut3 ⚽
D. Bogdanski2 ⚽
D. Kozera2 ⚽
A. Matuc2 ⚽
Olimpia ElblągL. Swiety4 ⚽
J. Branecki4 ⚽
T. Kaczmarek3 ⚽
O. Kordykiewicz2 ⚽
Joao Criciuma2 ⚽
D. Wierzba2 ⚽
Cards Given
Polonia Lidzbark1 🟨
Olimpia ElblągD. Wierzba1 🟨