Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam — K4 League
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Geoje Citizen and Geumsan Insam meet in the K4 League 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Geoje Citizen have recorded 12 wins from 24 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Geumsan Insam have won 39% of their 23 matches, with 1.52 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.83 for Geoje Citizen and 1.58 for Geumsan Insam. The models give Geoje Citizen a 46% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Geumsan Insam win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Geoje Citizen—
Geumsan Insam6º
Position
5º
1.62
PPG
1.59
48%
Win %
41%
1.76
Goals / game
1.59
1.24
Conceded / game
1.14
42%
BTTS %
61%
42%
Clean sheet %
26%
67%
Over 2.5 %
52%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Geoje Citizen
Home (9)
—
Geumsan Insam
Away (11)
1.56
PPG
1.36
44%
Win %
36%
2.22
Goals / game
1.91
1.44
Conceded / game
1.45
45%
BTTS %
67%
45%
Clean sheet %
8%
82%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Geoje Citizen | Home | Away | Geumsan Insam | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 91% | 69% | 74% | 73% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 73% | 38% | 48% | 55% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 45% | 23% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 9% | 31% | 26% | 27% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Geoje Citizen | Home | Away | Geumsan Insam | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 55% | 62% | 74% | 55% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 55% | 38% | 30% | 18% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 9% | 15% | 17% | 9% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 45% | 38% | 26% | 45% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Geoje Citizen | Geumsan Insam | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 9% |
| BTTS | 42% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Geoje Citizen | Geumsan Insam | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 64% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 18% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Geoje Citizen (H)W
Jungnang Chorus Mustang4–0
Jungnang Chorus Mustang4–0W
Haman1–0
Haman1–0W
Pyeongtaek Citizen3–0
Pyeongtaek Citizen3–0W
Incheon Seogot4–0
Incheon Seogot4–0L
Sejong SA1–2
Sejong SA1–2W
Gijang United4–2
Gijang United4–2Geumsan Insam (A)LGijang United1–3
Gijang United1–3W
Seosan Pioneer3–0
Seosan Pioneer3–0W
Jecheon Citizen2–1
Jecheon Citizen2–1L
Changwon City0–3
Changwon City0–3WHaman3–1
Haman3–1D
Pyeongchang United1–1
Pyeongchang United1–1Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Geoje Citizen
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Geumsan Insam
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
31/05/26Geoje Citizen
Geumsan Insam
2–1Geoje Citizen| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Jinju Citizen | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | +33 | 51 |
| 2 |  Jincheon | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | +22 | 42 |
| 3 |  Namyangju | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | +3 | 39 |
| 4 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +13 | 37 |
| 5 | Geumsan Insam | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | +10 | 35 |
| 6 | Geoje Citizen | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | +11 | 34 |
| 7 | Jecheon Citizen | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | -3 | 31 |
| 8 | Pyeongchang United | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Sejong SA | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | -14 | 29 |
| 10 | Gijang United | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | -12 | 26 |
| 11 | Haman | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | -15 | 20 |
| 12 | Pyeongtaek Citizen | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 14 |
| 13 | Seosan Pioneer | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -24 | 14 |
Team Insights
Geoje Citizen- ●Geoje Citizen have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Geoje Citizen have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Geoje Citizen have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Geoje Citizen have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Geoje Citizen have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Geoje Citizen have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Geoje Citizen have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Geoje Citizen have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Geoje Citizen have scored in 9 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Geoje Citizen have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Geoje Citizen have won 6 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Geoje Citizen have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.
Geumsan Insam- ●Geumsan Insam have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Geumsan Insam have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Geumsan Insam have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Geumsan Insam have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Geumsan Insam failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Geumsan Insam have won 4 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Geumsan Insam have scored in 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Geumsan Insam have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Geoje CitizenWHJungnang Chorus Mustang4–0
Jungnang Chorus Mustang4–0WHHaman1–0
Haman1–0WHPyeongtaek Citizen3–0
Pyeongtaek Citizen3–0DAJinju Citizen0–0
Jinju Citizen0–0WAJecheon Citizen2–0
Jecheon Citizen2–0WASeosan Pioneer1–0
Seosan Pioneer1–0–AGijang United31/10
Gijang United31/10–HGeumsan Insam08/11
Geumsan Insam08/11Geumsan InsamWHNamyangju2–0
Namyangju2–0LAGijang United1–3
Gijang United1–3DHPyeongtaek Citizen0–0
Pyeongtaek Citizen0–0DHJinju Citizen1–1
Jinju Citizen1–1WASeosan Pioneer3–0
Seosan Pioneer3–0LHJungnang Chorus Mustang1–3
Jungnang Chorus Mustang1–3–HSejong SA31/10
Sejong SA31/10–AGeoje Citizen08/11
Geoje Citizen08/11Top Scorers
Geoje CitizenKim Yeong-Jun2 ⚽
Choi Da-huin1 ⚽
Kim Kyeong-hwan1 ⚽
Geumsan InsamCards Given
Geoje CitizenGeumsan Insam1 🟨