Burgos vs Castellón — Segunda División
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Burgos and Castellón meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Burgos have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Castellón have won 53% of their 15 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Burgos and 1.41 for Castellón. The models give Burgos a 38% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Castellón win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Burgos | Home | Away | Castellón | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 67% | 60% | 73% | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 44% | 20% | 53% | 50% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 22% | 0% | 13% | 17% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 33% | 40% | 27% | 17% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Burgos | Home | Away | Castellón | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 67% | 60% | 53% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 11% | 0% | 20% | 17% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 33% | 40% | 47% | 67% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Burgos | Castellón | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 13% |
| BTTS | 43% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Burgos | Castellón | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 57% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 29% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Burgos | Castellón | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 78% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 67% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 44% | 56% | 52% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 56% | 39% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 33% | 28% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 22% | 19% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 22% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 11% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Burgos | Castellón |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.4 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.9 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 22% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 89% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 89% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 33% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 | |
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 | |
| 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 | |
| 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 | |
| 19 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | |
| 21 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 | |
| 22 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Burgos failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●75% of Burgos's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Burgos have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Castellón have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Castellón have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●60% of Castellón's points have been earned away.

