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Burgos vs Castellón — Segunda División

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Burgos
Burgos
8º · 1.56 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 20d 1h
vs
–
–
Castellón
Castellón
3º · 2.22 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 4h
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Burgos and Castellón meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Burgos have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Castellón have won 53% of their 15 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 47%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Burgos and 1.41 for Castellón. The models give Burgos a 38% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Castellón win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.

Season Statistics

Burgos
—
Castellón
8º
Position
3º
1.56
PPG
2.22
44%
Win %
67%
1.33
Goals / game
1.67
1.11
Conceded / game
0.44
43%
BTTS %
40%
36%
Clean sheet %
47%
43%
Over 2.5 %
47%
3.4
Avg corners
5.2
11.3
Avg shots
14.3
3.2
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.7
Avg yellow cards
1.8
16.2
Avg fouls
10.8
48.7%
Avg possession
62.1%

Home vs Away

Burgos
Home (5)
—
Castellón
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
2.40
60%
Win %
80%
1.80
Goals / game
1.40
1.20
Conceded / game
0.60
44%
BTTS %
44%
33%
Clean sheet %
33%
44%
Over 2.5 %
56%
3.4
Avg corners
5.2
11.3
Avg shots
14.3
3.2
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.7
Avg yellow cards
1.8
48.7%
Avg possession
62.1%

Goals Scored

BurgosHomeAwayCastellónHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored64%67%60%73%83%67%
Over 1.5 Scored36%44%20%53%50%56%
Over 2.5 Scored14%22%0%13%17%11%
Failed To Score36%33%40%27%17%33%

Goals Conceded

BurgosHomeAwayCastellónHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded64%67%60%53%33%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded29%33%20%20%17%22%
Over 2.5 Conceded7%11%0%20%17%22%
Clean Sheets36%33%40%47%67%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

BurgosCastellón
Over 0.586%87%
Over 1.557%73%
Over 2.543%47%
Over 3.521%20%
Over 4.57%13%
BTTS43%40%
BTTS & Win21%20%
BTTS & Draw14%13%
BTTS & Over 2.536%33%
BTTS No & Over 2.57%13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

BurgosCastellón
Win 1st Half21%47%
Draw 1st Half50%33%
Loss 1st Half29%20%
Scored 1st Half43%53%
Conceded 1st Half50%33%
Win 2nd Half29%33%
Draw 2nd Half57%40%
Loss 2nd Half14%27%
Scored 2nd Half43%47%
Conceded 2nd Half29%40%
Over 0.5 HT71%73%
Over 1.5 HT29%33%

Recent Venue Form

Burgos (H)
LGranada CF0–1
WEldense1–0
WAD Ceuta FC3–1
DReal Sociedad II2–2
WCordoba3–2
DCultural Leonesa0–0
Castellón (A)
LFC Andorra0–1
WLeganes2–0
WGirona2–1
WCelta de Vigo II2–1
WReal Sociedad II1–0
DHércules0–0

Number of Corners

9.3
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.0
99 games
9.4
Corners / Match
9 games
Match CornersBurgosCastellónLeague Avg
Over 689%78%77%
Over 778%67%68%
Over 844%56%52%
Over 944%56%39%
Over 1033%33%28%
Over 1122%22%19%
Over 1222%22%13%
Over 1311%11%8%

Team Corners

Team CornersBurgosCastellón
Corners Earned / Match3.45.2
Corners Against / Match5.94.2
Over 2.5 Corners For67%89%
Over 3.5 Corners For56%56%
Over 4.5 Corners For22%56%
Over 2.5 Corners Against89%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against89%67%
Over 4.5 Corners Against67%33%

Head to Head · 4 matches

0
Burgos
0%
1
Draws
25%
3
Castellón
75%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
18/04/26
Castellón
3–1
Burgos
10/11/25
Burgos
0–0
Castellón
01/03/25
Castellón
2–1
Burgos
01/09/24
Burgos
0–2
Castellón
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Almeria9702+1121
2Eibar9702+921
3Castellón9621+1120
4Mallorca9522+717
5Sabadell9441+316
6Sporting Gijon9513+116
7Girona9432+615
8Burgos9423+214
9Oviedo9423+214
10Granada CF9423+114
11Valladolid9333+212
12Tenerife9333-212
13Celta de Vigo II9324-111
14Eldense9324-111
15Las Palmas9324-311
16Leganes9324-811
17FC Andorra9315-210
18Cordoba9306-69
19Real Sociedad II9225-58
20Cadiz914407
21AD Ceuta FC9126-125
22Albacete9018-151

Team Insights

Burgos
  • ●Burgos failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●75% of Burgos's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Burgos have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
Castellón
  • ●Castellón have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Castellón have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●60% of Castellón's points have been earned away.
LHGranada CF10º0–1
LAAlmeria1º1–2
WHEldense14º1–0
WALas Palmas15º2–1
WHAD Ceuta FC21º3–1
DAOviedo9º0–0
DHReal Sociedad II19º2–2
LASporting Gijon6º0–1
WHCordoba18º3–2
LAFC Andorra17º0–1
DHAD Ceuta FC21º1–1
WALeganes16º2–0
WHTenerife12º5–0
WAGirona7º2–1
WHAlbacete22º2–0
WACelta de Vigo II13º2–1
DHSabadell5º0–0
WAReal Sociedad II19º1–0
LHLevante1–3

Season Schedule

Burgos
LHGranada CF0–1
LAAlmeria1–2
WHEldense1–0
WALas Palmas2–1
WHAD Ceuta FC3–1
DAOviedo0–0
–HSabadell18/10
–AFC Andorra26/10
–HCastellón01/11
Castellón
LAFC Andorra0–1
DHAD Ceuta FC1–1
WALeganes2–0
WHTenerife5–0
WAGirona2–1
WHAlbacete2–0
–ALas Palmas17/10
–HSporting Gijon25/10
–ABurgos01/11

Top Scorers

Burgos
David Gonzalez2 ⚽
F. Nino2 ⚽
J. Llabres2 ⚽
Jon Karrikaburu2 ⚽
A. Fores2 ⚽
Álex Forés1 ⚽
Castellón
R. Sanchez3 ⚽
Israel Suero Fernández3 ⚽
Ousmane Camara3 ⚽
A. Garcia2 ⚽
A. Jakobsen2 ⚽
D. Muale Nzanza1 ⚽

Cards Given

Burgos
Alberto Dadie4 🟨
Oier Luengo Redondo2 🟨
José Gragera2 🟨
David Gonzalez2 🟨
Grego Sierra2 🟨
Pablo Galdames2 🟨
Castellón
Alberto Jiménez3 🟨
3 🟨
Íñigo Córdoba2 🟨
I. Cordoba1 🟨
Francisco Castillo1 🟨
Barri1 🟨