Valladolid vs Castellón — Segunda División
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Valladolid and Castellón meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Valladolid have recorded 6 wins from 15 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.73 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Castellón have won 56% of their 16 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Valladolid and 1.57 for Castellón. The models give Valladolid a 32% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Castellón win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Valladolid—
Castellón12º
Position
2º
1.20
PPG
2.30
30%
Win %
70%
1.50
Goals / game
1.80
1.40
Conceded / game
0.40
47%
BTTS %
38%
27%
Clean sheet %
50%
53%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.9
Avg corners
5.3
13.0
Avg shots
14.4
4.7
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.9
Avg yellow cards
1.7
14.0
Avg fouls
11.2
50.3%
Avg possession
62.2%
Home vs Away
Valladolid
Home (5)
—
Castellón
Away (6)
1.80
PPG
2.50
60%
Win %
83%
2.20
Goals / game
1.67
1.40
Conceded / game
0.50
43%
BTTS %
40%
43%
Clean sheet %
40%
71%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.9
Avg corners
5.3
13.0
Avg shots
14.4
4.7
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.9
Avg yellow cards
1.7
50.3%
Avg possession
62.2%
Goals Scored
| Valladolid | Home | Away | Castellón | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 71% | 63% | 75% | 83% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 57% | 38% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 43% | 25% | 19% | 17% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 29% | 38% | 25% | 17% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Valladolid | Home | Away | Castellón | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 57% | 88% | 50% | 33% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 29% | 38% | 19% | 17% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 29% | 0% | 19% | 17% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 43% | 13% | 50% | 67% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Valladolid | Castellón | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 13% |
| BTTS | 47% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Valladolid | Castellón | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Valladolid (H)L
Eldense2–3
Eldense2–3W
Albacete5–0
Albacete5–0W
Cordoba3–1
Cordoba3–1L
Oviedo0–3
Oviedo0–3W
FC Andorra1–0
FC Andorra1–0W
CD Coria4–1
CD Coria4–1Castellón (A)W
Las Palmas3–0
Las Palmas3–0LFC Andorra0–1
FC Andorra0–1W
Leganes2–0
Leganes2–0W
Girona2–1
Girona2–1W
Celta de Vigo II2–1
Celta de Vigo II2–1W
Real Sociedad II1–0
Real Sociedad II1–0Number of Corners
8.6
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.2
109 games
9.4
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Valladolid | Castellón | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 60% | 80% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 70% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 60% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 50% | 42% |
| Over 10 | 20% | 30% | 31% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 20% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 10% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Valladolid | Castellón |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.7 | 4.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 70% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 90% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 30% | 30% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Valladolid
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Castellón
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
08/02/26Castellón
Valladolid
0–4Castellón22/08/25Valladolid
Castellón
0–1Valladolid| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | +13 | 24 |
| 2 | Castellón | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Sporting Gijon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Girona | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 |  Granada CF | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 11 | Eldense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Valladolid | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Tenerife | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Cordoba | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Celta de Vigo II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 | Las Palmas | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 17 | Leganes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | FC Andorra | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 10 |
| 19 | Real Sociedad II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 |  AD Ceuta FC | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 22 | Albacete | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -16 | 1 |
Team Insights
Valladolid- ●Valladolid have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Valladolid have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Valladolid have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Valladolid failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Valladolid failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Valladolid's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Valladolid's points have been earned at home.
- ●Valladolid have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Castellón- ●Castellón have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Castellón have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Castellón have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Castellón have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of Castellón's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
ValladolidLHEldense2–3
Eldense2–3WHAlbacete5–0
Albacete5–0DALas Palmas2–2
Las Palmas2–2WHCordoba3–1
Cordoba3–1DAAD Ceuta FC1–1
AD Ceuta FC1–1LHOviedo0–3
Oviedo0–3–AGranada CF23/10
Granada CF23/10–HLeganes01/11
Leganes01/11–ASporting Gijon08/11
Sporting Gijon08/11CastellónWALas Palmas3–0
Las Palmas3–0LAFC Andorra0–1
FC Andorra0–1DHAD Ceuta FC1–1
AD Ceuta FC1–1WALeganes2–0
Leganes2–0WHTenerife5–0
Tenerife5–0WAGirona2–1
Girona2–1–HSporting Gijon25/10
Sporting Gijon25/10–ABurgos01/11
Burgos01/11–HEibar08/11
Eibar08/11Top Scorers
ValladolidAdrian Arnu4 ⚽
Juan Miguel Latasa3 ⚽
Victor Barbera2 ⚽
Julien Ponceau2 ⚽
R. van Duiven2 ⚽
L. Chacon1 ⚽
CastellónIsrael Suero Fernández4 ⚽
R. Sanchez3 ⚽
Ousmane Camara3 ⚽
A. Garcia2 ⚽
Agustín Sienra2 ⚽
A. Jakobsen2 ⚽
Cards Given
ValladolidVíctor Fernández3 🟨
Iván Alejo3 🟨
T. Ojeda3 🟨
Mathis Lachuer2 🟨
Kaj de Rooij2 🟨
Alejandro Balboa Bandeira2 🟨
Castellón3 🟨
Alberto Jiménez3 🟨
Matías Orozco2 🟨
Íñigo Córdoba2 🟨
I. Cordoba1 🟨
Francisco Castillo1 🟨