AD Ceuta FC vs Almeria — Segunda División
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Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube·Ceuta·Spain·7,000
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AD Ceuta FC and Almeria meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 22 November 2026. AD Ceuta FC have recorded 3 wins from 14 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 1.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Almeria have won 69% of their 16 matches, with 1.81 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 25%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.20 for AD Ceuta FC and 1.37 for Almeria. The models give AD Ceuta FC a 29% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Almeria win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
AD Ceuta FC—
Almeria21º
Position
1º
0.50
PPG
2.27
10%
Win %
73%
0.90
Goals / game
2.00
2.20
Conceded / game
0.82
71%
BTTS %
25%
0%
Clean sheet %
50%
64%
Over 2.5 %
44%
6.1
Avg corners
4.2
15.3
Avg shots
12.5
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.7
13.7
Avg fouls
12.6
49.6%
Avg possession
53.5%
Home vs Away
AD Ceuta FC
Home (6)
—
Almeria
Away (5)
0.67
PPG
1.80
17%
Win %
60%
1.00
Goals / game
1.40
1.67
Conceded / game
0.80
71%
BTTS %
10%
0%
Clean sheet %
50%
57%
Over 2.5 %
20%
6.1
Avg corners
4.2
15.3
Avg shots
12.5
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.7
49.6%
Avg possession
53.5%
Goals Scored
| AD Ceuta | Home | Away | Almeria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 71% | 71% | 75% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 21% | 29% | 14% | 63% | 100% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 14% | 14% | 31% | 50% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 29% | 29% | 25% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| AD Ceuta | Home | Away | Almeria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 57% | 57% | 25% | 33% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 0% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AD Ceuta | Almeria | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 13% |
| BTTS | 71% | 25% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AD Ceuta | Almeria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 57% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 79% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
AD Ceuta (H)L
Oviedo1–2
Oviedo1–2L
Sabadell1–2
Sabadell1–2W
Real Sociedad II3–1
Real Sociedad II3–1D
Valladolid1–1
Valladolid1–1L
Celta de Vigo II0–2
Celta de Vigo II0–2L
Las Palmas0–2
Las Palmas0–2Almeria (A)WReal Sociedad II4–2
Real Sociedad II4–2W
Mallorca1–0
Mallorca1–0W
Cordoba2–0
Cordoba2–0LSabadell0–1
Sabadell0–1L
Tenerife0–1
Tenerife0–1WCordoba4–0
Cordoba4–0Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.3
116 games
10.0
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | AD Ceuta | Almeria | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 60% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 73% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 64% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 55% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 55% | 32% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 27% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 9% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 9% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | AD Ceuta | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.1 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.7 | 5.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 60% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 60% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 20% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 64% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
AD Ceuta
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Almeria
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
100%
Over 3.5
2/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
01/02/26AD Ceuta FC
Almeria
4–2AD Ceuta FC26/11/25Almeria
AD Ceuta FC
3–2Almeria| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 22 |
| 4 |  Girona | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 20 |
| 6 | Mallorca | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
| 8 | Oviedo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Burgos | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 10 | Sabadell | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 11 | Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 |  Eldense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | Las Palmas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 |  Leganes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 12 |
| 18 |  FC Andorra | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 10 |
| 19 | Real Sociedad II | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 22 |  Albacete | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -16 | 1 |
Team Insights
AD Ceuta- ●AD Ceuta FC have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●AD Ceuta FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●AD Ceuta FC have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●AD Ceuta FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●AD Ceuta FC have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●AD Ceuta FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●AD Ceuta FC have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●67% of AD Ceuta FC's goals have been scored at home.
Almeria- ●Almeria have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Almeria have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Almeria have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Almeria have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Almeria have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Almeria have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Almeria have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Almeria have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Almeria have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●68% of Almeria's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Almeria have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AD CeutaLHOviedo1–2
Oviedo1–2LHSabadell1–2
Sabadell1–2DACastellón1–1
Castellón1–1WHReal Sociedad II3–1
Real Sociedad II3–1DHValladolid1–1
Valladolid1–1LABurgos1–3
Burgos1–3–ACadiz25/10
Cadiz25/10–HSporting Gijon01/11
Sporting Gijon01/11–ACordoba07/11
Cordoba07/11AlmeriaDHOviedo2–2
Oviedo2–2WAReal Sociedad II4–2
Real Sociedad II4–2WHLeganes3–0
Leganes3–0WHBurgos2–1
Burgos2–1WAMallorca1–0
Mallorca1–0WHCelta de Vigo II2–0
Celta de Vigo II2–0–AEibar31/10
Eibar31/10–AGirona08/11
Girona08/11–HFC Andorra14/11
FC Andorra14/11Top Scorers
AD CeutaCarlos Hernández4 ⚽
Jordi Escobar3 ⚽
J. Escobar2 ⚽
K. Zalazar1 ⚽
A. Camacho1 ⚽
Y. Bodiger1 ⚽
AlmeriaMiguel De La Fuente7 ⚽
Brian Cipenga3 ⚽
N. Melamed2 ⚽
Javier Muñoz Jiménez2 ⚽
M. de la Fuente2 ⚽
Sergio Arribas Calvo2 ⚽
Cards Given
AD Ceuta3 🟨
Carlos Hernández3 🟨
Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro3 🟨
Kuki Zalazar3 🟨
José Matos2 🟨
Jordi Escobar2 🟨
AlmeriaMarcos Luna3 🟨
Quim junyent2 🟨
Javier Muñoz Jiménez2 🟨
Federico Bonini2 🟨
Francisco Javier García Pimienta1 🟨
Andrés Fernández1 🟨