Barcelona vs Real Madrid — La Liga
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Camp Nou·Barcelona·Spain·55,926
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Barcelona and Real Madrid meet in the La Liga 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Barcelona have recorded 12 wins from 14 matches this season (86% win rate), averaging 3.57 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Real Madrid have won 83% of their 12 matches, with 2.58 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 83%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.71 for Barcelona and 1.67 for Real Madrid. The models give Barcelona a 59% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Real Madrid win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
Barcelona—
Real Madrid1º
Position
2º
3.00
PPG
2.50
100%
Win %
83%
4.43
Goals / game
2.83
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
64%
BTTS %
67%
29%
Clean sheet %
25%
79%
Over 2.5 %
83%
7.0
Avg corners
7.2
21.8
Avg shots
17.9
8.4
Avg shots on target
7.9
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.4
9.6
Avg fouls
8.4
69.3%
Avg possession
52.4%
Home vs Away
Barcelona
Home (3)
—
Real Madrid
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
2.00
100%
Win %
67%
4.67
Goals / game
1.67
1.33
Conceded / game
1.33
71%
BTTS %
50%
29%
Clean sheet %
33%
71%
Over 2.5 %
67%
7.0
Avg corners
7.2
21.8
Avg shots
17.9
8.4
Avg shots on target
7.9
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.4
69.3%
Avg possession
52.4%
Goals Scored
| Barcelona | Home | Away | Real Madrid | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 100% | 86% | 92% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 86% | 86% | 86% | 77% | 100% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 64% | 57% | 71% | 46% | 67% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 0% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Barcelona | Home | Away | Real Madrid | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 71% | 71% | 77% | 83% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 29% | 43% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 29% | 29% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Barcelona | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 | 71% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 57% | 31% |
| BTTS | 64% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 57% | 54% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 69% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Barcelona | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 71% | 69% |
| Draw 1st Half | 21% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 7% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 93% | 85% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 64% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 7% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 79% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 79% | 69% |
Recent Venue Form
Barcelona (H)W
Racing Santander7–2
Racing Santander7–2W
Feyenoord5–1
Feyenoord5–1W
Rayo Vallecano5–2
Rayo Vallecano5–2W
Athletic Club2–0
Athletic Club2–0W
Al Ahly2–1
Al Ahly2–1W
Nottingham Forest1–0
Nottingham Forest1–0Real Madrid (A)L
Atletico Madrid1–2
Atletico Madrid1–2W
Elche3–2
Elche3–2L
Real Betis0–1
Real Betis0–1W
Espanyol2–1
Espanyol2–1W
FC Schalke 043–0
FC Schalke 043–0W
Deportivo La Coruna1–0
Deportivo La Coruna1–0Number of Corners
9.3
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.6
63 games
13.3
Corners / Match
6 games
| Match Corners | Barcelona | Real Madrid | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 50% | 100% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 83% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 38% | 83% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 83% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 83% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 67% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 67% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 38% | 67% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Barcelona | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.0 | 7.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.3 | 6.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 25% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 13% | 83% |
Head to Head · 49 matches
26
Barcelona
53%
6
Draws
12%
17
Real Madrid
35%
92%
Over 1.5
45/49
80%
Over 2.5
39/49
49%
Over 3.5
24/49
67%
BTTS
33/49
10/05/26Real Madrid
Barcelona
2–0Real Madrid11/01/26Real Madrid
Barcelona
3–2Real Madrid26/10/25Barcelona
Real Madrid
2–1Barcelona11/05/25Real Madrid
Barcelona
4–3Real Madrid26/04/25Real Madrid
Barcelona
3–2Real Madrid12/01/25Barcelona
Real Madrid
2–5Barcelona26/10/24Barcelona
Real Madrid
0–4Barcelona03/08/24Real Madrid
Barcelona
2–1Real Madrid21/04/24Barcelona
Real Madrid
3–2Barcelona14/01/24Barcelona
Real Madrid
4–1Barcelona28/10/23Real Madrid
Barcelona
1–2Real Madrid29/07/23Barcelona
Real Madrid
0–3Barcelona29/07/23Real Madrid
Barcelona
3–0Real Madrid05/04/23Real Madrid
Barcelona
0–4Real Madrid19/03/23Real Madrid
Barcelona
2–1Real Madrid02/03/23Barcelona
Real Madrid
0–1Barcelona15/01/23Barcelona
Real Madrid
1–3Barcelona16/10/22Barcelona
Real Madrid
3–1Barcelona24/07/22Barcelona
Real Madrid
0–1Barcelona20/03/22Barcelona
Real Madrid
0–4Barcelona| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 15 |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 | Deportivo La Coruna | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 |  Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 |  Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 |  Villarreal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Levante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Getafe | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Team Insights
Barcelona- ●Barcelona have won their last 7 matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Barcelona have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Barcelona have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
Real Madrid- ●Real Madrid have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●67% of Real Madrid's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Real Madrid's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Real Madrid have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BarcelonaWASevilla3–1
Sevilla3–1WHRacing Santander7–2
Racing Santander7–2WALevante4–2
Levante4–2WAValencia5–0
Valencia5–0WHRayo Vallecano5–2
Rayo Vallecano5–2WHAthletic Club2–0
Athletic Club2–0–HGetafe10/10
Getafe10/10–AReal Betis17/10
Real Betis17/10–HReal Madrid25/10
Real Madrid25/10Real MadridLAAtletico Madrid1–2
Atletico Madrid1–2WAElche3–2
Elche3–2WHRayo Vallecano4–1
Rayo Vallecano4–1LAReal Betis0–1
Real Betis0–1WHMalaga4–0
Malaga4–0WHReal Sociedad4–1
Real Sociedad4–1–HVillarreal10/10
Villarreal10/10–HSevilla18/10
Sevilla18/10–ABarcelona25/10
Barcelona25/10Top Scorers
BarcelonaRaphinha10 ⚽
Lamine Yamal9 ⚽
Raphael Dias Belloli6 ⚽
H. Abdelkarim4 ⚽
Fermin3 ⚽
K. Adeyemi2 ⚽
Real MadridK. Mbappe5 ⚽
Kylian Mbappé4 ⚽
C. Espi3 ⚽
J. Bellingham2 ⚽
Carlos Espí1 ⚽
Antonio Rüdiger1 ⚽
Cards Given
BarcelonaDaniel Olmo Carvajal1 🟨
Fermín López1 🟨
Gerard Martín1 🟨
H. Abdelkarim1 🟨
João Cancelo1 🟨
K. Adeyemi1 🟨
Real MadridE. Camavinga3 🟨
Ibrahima Konaté2 🟨
Dean Huijsen2 🟨
A. Rudiger1 🟨
D. Dumfries1 🟨
Arda Güler1 🟨