Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo — La Liga
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Rayo Vallecano and Celta Vigo meet in the La Liga 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Rayo Vallecano have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.45 goals scored and 2.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 91% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 82%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Celta Vigo have won 23% of their 13 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.22 for Celta Vigo. The models give Rayo Vallecano a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Celta Vigo win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Rayo Vallecano—
Celta Vigo9º
Position
11º
1.14
PPG
1.00
29%
Win %
14%
1.57
Goals / game
1.14
2.29
Conceded / game
0.86
91%
BTTS %
54%
0%
Clean sheet %
31%
82%
Over 2.5 %
38%
5.3
Avg corners
4.1
13.4
Avg shots
11.4
4.6
Avg shots on target
3.9
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.6
13.4
Avg fouls
11.3
48.6%
Avg possession
52.8%
Home vs Away
Rayo Vallecano
Home (3)
—
Celta Vigo
Away (3)
2.33
PPG
1.00
67%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
0.33
1.33
Conceded / game
0.33
100%
BTTS %
57%
0%
Clean sheet %
29%
67%
Over 2.5 %
29%
5.3
Avg corners
4.1
13.4
Avg shots
11.4
4.6
Avg shots on target
3.9
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.6
48.6%
Avg possession
52.8%
Goals Scored
| Rayo Vallecano | Home | Away | Celta Vigo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 100% | 88% | 69% | 83% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 67% | 25% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 33% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 0% | 13% | 31% | 17% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Rayo Vallecano | Home | Away | Celta Vigo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 69% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 73% | 33% | 88% | 31% | 50% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 0% | 38% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rayo Vallecano | Celta Vigo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 82% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 15% |
| BTTS | 91% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 73% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rayo Vallecano | Celta Vigo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 64% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Rayo Vallecano (H)W
Espanyol2–1
Espanyol2–1W
Racing Santander3–2
Racing Santander3–2D
Alaves1–1
Alaves1–1W
Villarreal2–0
Villarreal2–0D
Girona1–1
Girona1–1W
Strasbourg1–0
Strasbourg1–0Celta Vigo (A)L
Omonia Nicosia0–1
Omonia Nicosia0–1D
Getafe1–1
Getafe1–1D
Real Sociedad0–0
Real Sociedad0–0D
Valencia0–0
Valencia0–0D
Napoli1–1
Napoli1–1W
Sassuolo4–1
Sassuolo4–1Number of Corners
11.4
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.6
63 games
8.6
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Rayo Vallecano | Celta Vigo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 63% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 86% | 63% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 38% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 57% | 38% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 57% | 38% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 57% | 25% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 57% | 25% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 57% | 13% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Rayo Vallecano | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.1 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 71% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 57% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 86% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 71% | 38% |
Head to Head · 20 matches
9
Rayo Vallecano
45%
6
Draws
30%
5
Celta Vigo
25%
75%
Over 1.5
15/20
55%
Over 2.5
11/20
20%
Over 3.5
4/20
35%
BTTS
7/20
18/01/26Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
3–0Rayo Vallecano21/09/25Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
1–1Celta Vigo18/05/25Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
1–2Rayo Vallecano10/01/25Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
2–1Celta Vigo31/03/24Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
0–0Rayo Vallecano11/12/23Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
0–0Celta Vigo11/03/23Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
3–0Rayo Vallecano10/11/22Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
0–0Celta Vigo05/02/22Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
2–0Rayo Vallecano01/11/21Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
0–0Celta Vigo18/05/19Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
2–2Rayo Vallecano11/01/19Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
4–2Celta Vigo23/01/16Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
3–0Celta Vigo29/08/15Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
3–0Rayo Vallecano11/04/15Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
6–1Rayo Vallecano23/11/14Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
1–0Celta Vigo05/04/14Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
3–0Celta Vigo09/11/13Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
0–2Rayo Vallecano07/04/13Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
0–2Rayo Vallecano10/11/12Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
3–2Celta Vigo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 15 |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 |  Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 | Villarreal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Levante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 | Getafe | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |  Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Team Insights
Rayo Vallecano- ●Rayo Vallecano failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Rayo Vallecano have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Rayo Vallecano have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Rayo Vallecano have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●75% of Rayo Vallecano's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●87% of Rayo Vallecano's points have been earned at home.
- ●Rayo Vallecano have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Celta Vigo- ●Celta Vigo have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Celta Vigo have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●88% of Celta Vigo's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Rayo VallecanoDAOsasuna1–1
Osasuna1–1WHEspanyol2–1
Espanyol2–1LAReal Madrid1–4
Real Madrid1–4WHRacing Santander3–2
Racing Santander3–2LABarcelona2–5
Barcelona2–5DHAlaves1–1
Alaves1–1–HAthletic Club10/10
Athletic Club10/10–AGetafe19/10
Getafe19/10–HElche25/10
Elche25/10Celta VigoWHRacing Santander5–0
Racing Santander5–0DHMalaga1–1
Malaga1–1DAGetafe1–1
Getafe1–1DAReal Sociedad0–0
Real Sociedad0–0LHAthletic Club0–2
Athletic Club0–2LHOsasuna1–2
Osasuna1–2–AElche11/10
Elche11/10–HAlaves18/10
Alaves18/10–HReal Betis25/10
Real Betis25/10Top Scorers
Rayo VallecanoS. Camello4 ⚽
Sergio Camello4 ⚽
A. Garcia2 ⚽
F. Perez1 ⚽
R. Nteka1 ⚽
Álvaro García1 ⚽
Celta VigoH. Gonzalez6 ⚽
I. Aspas2 ⚽
F. Jutgla2 ⚽
Pablo Durán Fernández2 ⚽
Ilaix Moriba1 ⚽
Miguel Roman1 ⚽
Cards Given
Rayo VallecanoPathé Ciss3 🟨
2 🟨
Alexandre Zurawski2 🟨
Alemao1 🟨
Florian Lejeune1 🟨
F. Perez1 🟨
Celta VigoYoel Lago3 🟨
Marcos Alonso2 🟨
2 🟨
J. Rueda1 🟨
Javier Rueda García1 🟨
Carl Starfelt1 🟨