Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona — La Liga
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Atletico Madrid and Barcelona meet in the La Liga 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Atletico Madrid have recorded 10 wins from 15 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Barcelona have won 88% of their 17 matches, with 3.65 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.93 for Atletico Madrid and 2.34 for Barcelona. The models give Atletico Madrid a 30% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Barcelona win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Atletico Madrid—
Barcelona2º
Position
1º
2.38
PPG
3.00
75%
Win %
100%
2.25
Goals / game
4.25
1.00
Conceded / game
0.88
60%
BTTS %
65%
33%
Clean sheet %
29%
80%
Over 2.5 %
82%
5.8
Avg corners
6.9
16.3
Avg shots
21.5
6.0
Avg shots on target
8.7
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.2
11.8
Avg fouls
9.7
59.3%
Avg possession
70.6%
Home vs Away
Atletico Madrid
Home (4)
—
Barcelona
Away (4)
2.50
PPG
3.00
75%
Win %
100%
2.50
Goals / game
4.25
0.75
Conceded / game
0.75
50%
BTTS %
67%
50%
Clean sheet %
22%
67%
Over 2.5 %
89%
5.8
Avg corners
6.9
16.3
Avg shots
21.5
6.0
Avg shots on target
8.7
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.2
59.3%
Avg possession
70.6%
Goals Scored
| Atletico Madrid | Home | Away | Barcelona | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 100% | 89% | 94% | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 100% | 44% | 88% | 88% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 33% | 22% | 71% | 63% | 78% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 0% | 11% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Atletico Madrid | Home | Away | Barcelona | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 78% | 71% | 63% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 17% | 44% | 35% | 25% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 50% | 22% | 29% | 38% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 59% |
| BTTS | 60% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 59% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 71% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 6% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 94% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 60% | 71% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 7% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 6% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 82% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 82% |
Recent Venue Form
Atletico Madrid (H)W
Manchester United2–0
Manchester United2–0W
Real Madrid2–1
Real Madrid2–1W
Osasuna4–0
Osasuna4–0D
Villarreal2–2
Villarreal2–2W
Malaga2–0
Malaga2–0W
Getafe4–1
Getafe4–1Barcelona (A)W
Real Betis5–2
Real Betis5–2W
Galatasaray4–1
Galatasaray4–1W
Sevilla3–1
Sevilla3–1W
Levante4–2
Levante4–2W
Valencia5–0
Valencia5–0W
Elche5–0
Elche5–0Number of Corners
9.2
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.7
86 games
9.0
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 64% | 80% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 45% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 45% | 36% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 45% | 36% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 36% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 27% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 9% | 27% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 27% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.8 | 6.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 82% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 64% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 45% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 27% | 9% |
Head to Head · 43 matches
8
Atletico Madrid
19%
9
Draws
21%
26
Barcelona
60%
74%
Over 1.5
32/43
53%
Over 2.5
23/43
23%
Over 3.5
10/43
53%
BTTS
23/43
14/04/26Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
1–2Barcelona08/04/26Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
0–2Atletico Madrid04/04/26Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
1–2Barcelona03/03/26Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
3–0Atletico Madrid12/02/26Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
4–0Barcelona02/12/25Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
3–1Atletico Madrid02/04/25Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
0–1Barcelona16/03/25Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
2–4Barcelona25/02/25Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
4–4Atletico Madrid21/12/24Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1–2Atletico Madrid17/03/24Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
0–3Barcelona03/12/23Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1–0Atletico Madrid23/04/23Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1–0Atletico Madrid08/01/23Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
0–1Barcelona06/02/22Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
4–2Atletico Madrid02/10/21Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
2–0Barcelona08/05/21Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
0–0Atletico Madrid21/11/20Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
1–0Barcelona30/06/20Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2–2Atletico Madrid09/01/20Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2–3Atletico Madrid| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +30 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Celta Vigo | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 |  Athletic Club | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 | Villarreal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 18 | Elche | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 | Valencia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -12 | 4 |
Team Insights
Atletico Madrid- ●Atletico Madrid have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Atletico Madrid have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Atletico Madrid have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Atletico Madrid have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Atletico Madrid have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atletico Madrid have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
Barcelona- ●Barcelona have won their last 9 matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Barcelona have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Barcelona have won their last 5 away matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Barcelona have won 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Atletico MadridWAEspanyol1–0
Espanyol1–0WAAlaves2–1
Alaves2–1WHReal Madrid2–1
Real Madrid2–1WHOsasuna4–0
Osasuna4–0WAReal Sociedad3–0
Real Sociedad3–0LAAthletic Club0–3
Athletic Club0–3–HDeportivo La Coruna24/10
Deportivo La Coruna24/10–ALevante31/10
Levante31/10–HBarcelona08/11
Barcelona08/11BarcelonaWAReal Betis5–2
Real Betis5–2WHGetafe3–0
Getafe3–0WASevilla3–1
Sevilla3–1WHRacing Santander7–2
Racing Santander7–2WALevante4–2
Levante4–2WAValencia5–0
Valencia5–0–HReal Madrid25/10
Real Madrid25/10–HAlaves31/10
Alaves31/10–AAtletico Madrid08/11
Atletico Madrid08/11Top Scorers
Atletico MadridAlejandro Grimaldo3 ⚽
A. Baena3 ⚽
A. Lookman3 ⚽
Jonathan David3 ⚽
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez2 ⚽
A. Ortiz2 ⚽
BarcelonaRaphinha10 ⚽
Lamine Yamal10 ⚽
Raphael Dias Belloli6 ⚽
H. Abdelkarim4 ⚽
Gabriel Jesus4 ⚽
Fermin3 ⚽
Cards Given
Atletico MadridDiego Pablo Simeone2 🟨
Lee Kang-In2 🟨
Cristian Romero2 🟨
Ademola Lookman2 🟨
Johnny Cardoso2 🟨
M. Hjulmand2 🟨
BarcelonaFermín López3 🟨
Lamine Yamal2 🟨
Daniel Olmo Carvajal2 🟨
João Cancelo1 🟨
K. Adeyemi1 🟨
Pau Cubarsí1 🟨