Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano — La Liga
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Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano meet in the La Liga 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Real Sociedad have recorded 4 wins from 14 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.21 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. Rayo Vallecano have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 2.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 91%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Real Sociedad and 1.49 for Rayo Vallecano. The models give Real Sociedad a 40% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Rayo Vallecano win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Real Sociedad—
Rayo Vallecano13º
Position
9º
1.17
PPG
1.14
33%
Win %
29%
1.00
Goals / game
1.57
1.83
Conceded / game
2.29
71%
BTTS %
91%
7%
Clean sheet %
0%
71%
Over 2.5 %
82%
8.0
Avg corners
5.3
12.7
Avg shots
13.4
5.0
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.4
12.7
Avg fouls
13.4
50.4%
Avg possession
48.6%
Home vs Away
Real Sociedad
Home (3)
—
Rayo Vallecano
Away (4)
1.33
PPG
0.25
33%
Win %
0%
0.67
Goals / game
1.25
1.33
Conceded / game
3.00
50%
BTTS %
88%
17%
Clean sheet %
0%
50%
Over 2.5 %
88%
8.0
Avg corners
5.3
12.7
Avg shots
13.4
5.0
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.4
50.4%
Avg possession
48.6%
Goals Scored
| Real Sociedad | Home | Away | Rayo Vallecano | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 50% | 88% | 91% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 17% | 38% | 36% | 67% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 25% | 18% | 33% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 50% | 13% | 9% | 0% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Sociedad | Home | Away | Rayo Vallecano | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 83% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 33% | 75% | 73% | 33% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 17% | 25% | 27% | 0% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 36% |
| BTTS | 71% | 91% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 73% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 64% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 64% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Sociedad (H)L
Bournemouth1–2
Bournemouth1–2L
Atletico Madrid0–3
Atletico Madrid0–3D
Celta Vigo0–0
Celta Vigo0–0W
Espanyol2–1
Espanyol2–1D
Racing Santander1–1
Racing Santander1–1L
PAU0–1
PAU0–1Rayo Vallecano (A)D
Osasuna1–1
Osasuna1–1L
Real Madrid1–4
Real Madrid1–4L
Barcelona2–5
Barcelona2–5L
Sevilla1–2
Sevilla1–2L
Ipswich0–3
Ipswich0–3W
Charleroi3–2
Charleroi3–2Number of Corners
11.7
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.6
63 games
11.4
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 86% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 86% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 100% | 57% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 86% | 57% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 71% | 57% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 57% | 57% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 43% | 57% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 57% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 8.0 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.7 | 6.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 43% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 14% | 71% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
9
Real Sociedad
38%
9
Draws
38%
6
Rayo Vallecano
25%
79%
Over 1.5
19/24
63%
Over 2.5
15/24
50%
Over 3.5
12/24
58%
BTTS
14/24
26/04/26Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
3–3Real Sociedad05/10/25Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
0–1Rayo Vallecano16/03/25Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
2–2Real Sociedad16/01/25Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
3–1Rayo Vallecano18/08/24Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
1–2Rayo Vallecano27/01/24Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
0–0Rayo Vallecano29/10/23Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
2–2Real Sociedad22/04/23Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
2–1Rayo Vallecano21/01/23Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
0–2Real Sociedad10/12/22Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
1–1Rayo Vallecano01/05/22Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
1–1Real Sociedad22/08/21Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
1–0Rayo Vallecano20/01/19Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
2–2Real Sociedad25/09/18Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
2–2Rayo Vallecano08/05/16Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
2–1Rayo Vallecano03/01/16Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
2–2Real Sociedad23/05/15Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
2–4Real Sociedad17/01/15Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
0–1Rayo Vallecano10/03/14Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
2–3Rayo Vallecano05/10/13Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
1–0Real Sociedad| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 15 |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 |  Villarreal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Levante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Getafe | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |  Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Team Insights
Real Sociedad—
Rayo Vallecano- ●Rayo Vallecano failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Rayo Vallecano have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Rayo Vallecano have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Rayo Vallecano have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●75% of Rayo Vallecano's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●87% of Rayo Vallecano's points have been earned at home.
- ●Rayo Vallecano have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Real SociedadLHAtletico Madrid0–3
Atletico Madrid0–3WAElche3–2
Elche3–2DHCelta Vigo0–0
Celta Vigo0–0WHEspanyol2–1
Espanyol2–1LAReal Madrid1–4
Real Madrid1–4LAReal Betis0–1
Real Betis0–1–HDeportivo La Coruna11/10
Deportivo La Coruna11/10–AMalaga18/10
Malaga18/10–HLevante25/10
Levante25/10Rayo VallecanoDAOsasuna1–1
Osasuna1–1WHEspanyol2–1
Espanyol2–1LAReal Madrid1–4
Real Madrid1–4WHRacing Santander3–2
Racing Santander3–2LABarcelona2–5
Barcelona2–5DHAlaves1–1
Alaves1–1–HAthletic Club10/10
Athletic Club10/10–AGetafe19/10
Getafe19/10–HElche25/10
Elche25/10Top Scorers
Real SociedadO. Oskarsson4 ⚽
C. Soler2 ⚽
Luka Sučić2 ⚽
I. Ruperez1 ⚽
J. Aramburu1 ⚽
Job Ochieng1 ⚽
Rayo VallecanoS. Camello4 ⚽
Sergio Camello4 ⚽
A. Garcia2 ⚽
F. Perez1 ⚽
R. Nteka1 ⚽
Álvaro García1 ⚽
Cards Given
Real SociedadI. Zubeldia3 🟨
2 🟨
B. Turrientes2 🟨
J. Aramburu2 🟨
Yangel Herrera2 🟨
Jon Aramburu1 🟨
Rayo VallecanoPathé Ciss3 🟨
2 🟨
Alexandre Zurawski2 🟨
Alemao1 🟨
Florian Lejeune1 🟨
F. Perez1 🟨