MatchPulse

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo — La Liga

← Back
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
4º · 2.25 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 31d 21h
vs
–
–
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
9º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 30d 21h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Real Madrid and Celta Vigo meet in the La Liga 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Real Madrid have recorded 14 wins from 17 matches this season (82% win rate), averaging 2.65 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 82%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Celta Vigo have won 29% of their 17 matches, with 1.35 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 29%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.04 for Real Madrid and 1.02 for Celta Vigo. The models give Real Madrid a 63% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Celta Vigo win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 54%.

Season Statistics

Real Madrid
—
Celta Vigo
4º
Position
9º
2.25
PPG
1.00
75%
Win %
13%
2.38
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.75
71%
BTTS %
59%
24%
Clean sheet %
29%
82%
Over 2.5 %
47%
6.4
Avg corners
3.6
16.1
Avg shots
11.3
7.4
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.6
8.7
Avg fouls
11.8
52.3%
Avg possession
50.6%

Home vs Away

Real Madrid
Home (4)
—
Celta Vigo
Away (4)
3.00
PPG
1.00
100%
Win %
0%
3.25
Goals / game
0.25
0.50
Conceded / game
0.25
78%
BTTS %
56%
22%
Clean sheet %
33%
89%
Over 2.5 %
33%
6.4
Avg corners
3.6
16.1
Avg shots
11.3
7.4
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.6
52.3%
Avg possession
50.6%

Goals Scored

Real MadridHomeAwayCelta VigoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored94%100%88%71%88%56%
Over 1.5 Scored76%89%63%35%38%33%
Over 2.5 Scored53%67%38%12%13%11%
Failed To Score6%0%13%29%13%44%

Goals Conceded

Real MadridHomeAwayCelta VigoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded76%78%75%71%75%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded24%11%38%29%50%11%
Over 2.5 Conceded6%0%13%0%0%0%
Clean Sheets24%22%25%29%25%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Real MadridCelta Vigo
Over 0.5100%82%
Over 1.582%71%
Over 2.582%47%
Over 3.553%24%
Over 4.541%12%
BTTS71%59%
BTTS & Win59%18%
BTTS & Draw6%29%
BTTS & Over 2.571%41%
BTTS No & Over 2.512%6%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Real MadridCelta Vigo
Win 1st Half65%35%
Draw 1st Half35%47%
Loss 1st Half0%18%
Scored 1st Half82%41%
Conceded 1st Half29%24%
Win 2nd Half53%41%
Draw 2nd Half18%29%
Loss 2nd Half29%29%
Scored 2nd Half76%53%
Conceded 2nd Half59%53%
Over 0.5 HT82%59%
Over 1.5 HT65%18%

Recent Venue Form

Real Madrid (H)
WRB Leipzig4–1
WSevilla4–1
WVillarreal1–0
WRayo Vallecano4–1
WInter2–1
WMalaga4–0
Celta Vigo (A)
WCeltic2–1
DElche0–0
LOmonia Nicosia0–1
DGetafe1–1
DReal Sociedad0–0
DValencia0–0

Number of Corners

11.0
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.8
93 games
8.1
Corners / Match
12 games
Match CornersReal MadridCelta VigoLeague Avg
Over 682%67%81%
Over 773%58%71%
Over 864%33%55%
Over 964%25%52%
Over 1064%25%42%
Over 1155%17%33%
Over 1245%17%27%
Over 1345%8%22%

Team Corners

Team CornersReal MadridCelta Vigo
Corners Earned / Match6.43.6
Corners Against / Match4.64.5
Over 2.5 Corners For82%58%
Over 3.5 Corners For82%42%
Over 4.5 Corners For64%33%
Over 2.5 Corners Against73%83%
Over 3.5 Corners Against55%50%
Over 4.5 Corners Against55%42%

Head to Head · 29 matches

25
Real Madrid
86%
2
Draws
7%
2
Celta Vigo
7%
97%
Over 1.5
28/29
76%
Over 2.5
22/29
52%
Over 3.5
15/29
62%
BTTS
18/29
06/03/26
Celta Vigo
1–2
Real Madrid
07/12/25
Real Madrid
0–2
Celta Vigo
04/05/25
Real Madrid
3–2
Celta Vigo
16/01/25
Real Madrid
5–2
Celta Vigo
19/10/24
Celta Vigo
1–2
Real Madrid
10/03/24
Real Madrid
4–0
Celta Vigo
25/08/23
Celta Vigo
0–1
Real Madrid
22/04/23
Real Madrid
2–0
Celta Vigo
20/08/22
Celta Vigo
1–4
Real Madrid
02/04/22
Celta Vigo
1–2
Real Madrid
12/09/21
Real Madrid
5–2
Celta Vigo
20/03/21
Celta Vigo
1–3
Real Madrid
02/01/21
Real Madrid
2–0
Celta Vigo
16/02/20
Real Madrid
2–2
Celta Vigo
17/08/19
Celta Vigo
1–3
Real Madrid
16/03/19
Real Madrid
2–0
Celta Vigo
11/11/18
Celta Vigo
2–4
Real Madrid
12/05/18
Real Madrid
6–0
Celta Vigo
07/01/18
Celta Vigo
2–2
Real Madrid
17/05/17
Celta Vigo
1–4
Real Madrid
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona9900+3027
2Atletico Madrid10811+1225
3Real Madrid9702+1421
4Real Betis9612+219
5Real Sociedad9513016
6Sevilla9423-214
7Alaves10334+312
8Villarreal10334+112
9Celta Vigo9252+311
10Deportivo La Coruna10253011
11Osasuna9324-811
12Racing Santander10325-1111
13Levante9243-210
14Elche10244-310
15Athletic Club8233-19
16Getafe9234-69
17Rayo Vallecano9234-89
18Espanyol10226-28
19Valencia10136-106
20Malaga10055-125

Team Insights

Real Madrid
  • ●Real Madrid have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Real Madrid have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Real Madrid have won their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Real Madrid have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●74% of Real Madrid's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●67% of Real Madrid's goals conceded were conceded away.
Celta Vigo
  • ●Celta Vigo have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
  • ●Celta Vigo have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Celta Vigo have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Celta Vigo failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●90% of Celta Vigo's goals have been scored at home.
WHRB Leipzig16º4–1
WHRB Leipzig30º4–1
WHSevilla5º4–1
WHSevilla6º4–1
WAAS Roma23º4–3
WAAS Roma15º4–3
WHVillarreal11º1–0
WHVillarreal8º1–0
LAAtletico Madrid2º1–2
LAAtletico Madrid2º1–2
WACeltic28º2–1
WACeltic35º2–1
WHAlaves7º2–1
WHAlaves7º2–1
LHJuventus1º1–2
LHJuventus7º1–2
DAElche18º0–0
DAElche14º0–0
WHRacing Santander15º5–0
WHRacing Santander12º5–0

Season Schedule

Real Madrid
WHSevilla4–1
WHVillarreal1–0
LAAtletico Madrid1–2
WAElche3–2
WHRayo Vallecano4–1
LAReal Betis0–1
–ABarcelona25/10
–ARacing Santander01/11
–AValencia07/11
Celta Vigo
WHAlaves2–1
DAElche0–0
WHRacing Santander5–0
DHMalaga1–1
DAGetafe1–1
DAReal Sociedad0–0
–HReal Betis25/10
–ARayo Vallecano31/10
–HLevante08/11

Top Scorers

Real Madrid
Kylian Mbappé8 ⚽
K. Mbappe5 ⚽
Yan Diomande3 ⚽
C. Espi3 ⚽
Antonio Rüdiger2 ⚽
J. Bellingham2 ⚽
Celta Vigo
H. Gonzalez6 ⚽
Javier Rodríguez Galiano3 ⚽
Ferran Jutglà2 ⚽
I. Aspas2 ⚽
F. Jutgla2 ⚽
Pablo Durán Fernández2 ⚽

Cards Given

Real Madrid
Ibrahima Konaté3 🟨
E. Camavinga3 🟨
Dean Huijsen3 🟨
Jude Bellingham2 🟨
José Mário dos Santos Mourinho Félix2 🟨
Vinícius2 🟨
Celta Vigo
Yoel Lago4 🟨
2 🟨
Javier Rueda García2 🟨
Marcos Alonso2 🟨
J. Rueda1 🟨
Couhaib Driouech1 🟨