Real Madrid vs Alaves — La Liga
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Real Madrid and Alaves meet in the La Liga 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Real Madrid have recorded 14 wins from 17 matches this season (82% win rate), averaging 2.65 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 82%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Alaves have won 36% of their 14 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.25 for Real Madrid and 1.01 for Alaves. The models give Real Madrid a 67% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Alaves win at 13%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Real Madrid—
Alaves4º
Position
7º
2.25
PPG
1.38
75%
Win %
38%
2.38
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
71%
BTTS %
57%
24%
Clean sheet %
36%
82%
Over 2.5 %
43%
6.4
Avg corners
4.1
16.1
Avg shots
13.3
7.4
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.7
8.7
Avg fouls
13.7
52.3%
Avg possession
44.4%
Home vs Away
Real Madrid
Home (4)
—
Alaves
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
0.67
100%
Win %
0%
3.25
Goals / game
0.67
0.50
Conceded / game
1.00
78%
BTTS %
67%
22%
Clean sheet %
33%
89%
Over 2.5 %
33%
6.4
Avg corners
4.1
16.1
Avg shots
13.3
7.4
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.7
52.3%
Avg possession
44.4%
Goals Scored
| Real Madrid | Home | Away | Alaves | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 100% | 88% | 86% | 88% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 76% | 89% | 63% | 21% | 38% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 53% | 67% | 38% | 21% | 38% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 0% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Madrid | Home | Away | Alaves | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 78% | 75% | 64% | 63% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 11% | 38% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 22% | 25% | 36% | 38% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Madrid | Alaves | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 82% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 7% |
| Over 4.5 | 41% | 7% |
| BTTS | 71% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 59% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Madrid | Alaves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 65% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 82% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 53% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 76% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 65% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Madrid (H)W
RB Leipzig4–1
RB Leipzig4–1W
Sevilla4–1
Sevilla4–1W
Villarreal1–0
Villarreal1–0W
Rayo Vallecano4–1
Rayo Vallecano4–1W
Inter2–1
Inter2–1W
Malaga4–0
Malaga4–0Alaves (A)L
Celta Vigo1–2
Celta Vigo1–2D
Athletic Club0–0
Athletic Club0–0L
Racing Santander1–2
Racing Santander1–2DRayo Vallecano1–1
Rayo Vallecano1–1DRacing Santander1–1
Racing Santander1–1W
Girona1–0
Girona1–0Number of Corners
11.0
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.8
93 games
9.0
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Real Madrid | Alaves | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 70% | 81% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 60% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 64% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 64% | 40% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 64% | 20% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 55% | 20% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 45% | 20% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 45% | 20% | 22% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Real Madrid | Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.4 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 82% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 82% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 64% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 55% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 55% | 50% |
Head to Head · 18 matches
16
Real Madrid
89%
0
Draws
0%
2
Alaves
11%
83%
Over 1.5
15/18
78%
Over 2.5
14/18
33%
Over 3.5
6/18
50%
BTTS
9/18
21/04/26Alaves
Real Madrid
2–1Alaves14/12/25Real Madrid
Alaves
1–2Real Madrid13/04/25Real Madrid
Alaves
0–1Real Madrid24/09/24Alaves
Real Madrid
3–2Alaves14/05/24Alaves
Real Madrid
5–0Alaves21/12/23Real Madrid
Alaves
0–1Real Madrid19/02/22Alaves
Real Madrid
3–0Alaves14/08/21Real Madrid
Alaves
1–4Real Madrid23/01/21Real Madrid
Alaves
1–4Real Madrid28/11/20Alaves
Real Madrid
1–2Alaves10/07/20Alaves
Real Madrid
2–0Alaves30/11/19Real Madrid
Alaves
1–2Real Madrid03/02/19Alaves
Real Madrid
3–0Alaves06/10/18Real Madrid
Alaves
1–0Real Madrid24/02/18Alaves
Real Madrid
4–0Alaves23/09/17Real Madrid
Alaves
1–2Real Madrid02/04/17Alaves
Real Madrid
3–0Alaves29/10/16Real Madrid
Alaves
1–4Real Madrid| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +30 | 27 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 |  Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 12 | Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Levante | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 |  Getafe | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  Espanyol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 5 |
Team Insights
Real Madrid- ●Real Madrid have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Real Madrid have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Madrid have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Real Madrid have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●74% of Real Madrid's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Real Madrid's goals conceded were conceded away.
Alaves- ●Alaves have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Alaves failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●79% of Alaves's goals have been scored at home.
- ●83% of Alaves's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Real MadridWHSevilla4–1
Sevilla4–1WHVillarreal1–0
Villarreal1–0LAAtletico Madrid1–2
Atletico Madrid1–2WAElche3–2
Elche3–2WHRayo Vallecano4–1
Rayo Vallecano4–1LAReal Betis0–1
Real Betis0–1–ABarcelona25/10
Barcelona25/10–ARacing Santander01/11
Racing Santander01/11–AValencia07/11
Valencia07/11AlavesDHMalaga1–1
Malaga1–1LACelta Vigo1–2
Celta Vigo1–2LHAtletico Madrid1–2
Atletico Madrid1–2DAAthletic Club0–0
Athletic Club0–0LHValencia0–1
Valencia0–1LARacing Santander1–2
Racing Santander1–2–ABarcelona31/10
Barcelona31/10–ASevilla06/11
Sevilla06/11–HDeportivo La Coruna22/11
Deportivo La Coruna22/11Top Scorers
Real MadridKylian Mbappé8 ⚽
K. Mbappe5 ⚽
Yan Diomande3 ⚽
C. Espi3 ⚽
Antonio Rüdiger2 ⚽
J. Bellingham2 ⚽
Alaves7 ⚽
M. Diaz4 ⚽
Lucas Boyé4 ⚽
L. Boye3 ⚽
Mariano Díaz1 ⚽
N. Tenaglia1 ⚽
Cards Given
Real MadridIbrahima Konaté3 🟨
E. Camavinga3 🟨
Dean Huijsen3 🟨
Jude Bellingham2 🟨
José Mário dos Santos Mourinho Félix2 🟨
Vinícius2 🟨
AlavesNahuel Tenaglia2 🟨
A. Sivera2 🟨
A. Rebbach2 🟨
M. Diaz2 🟨
Antonio Blanco2 🟨
Angel Pérez Hidalgo1 🟨