Spain · La Liga · Regular Season - 23

Barcelona

1º · 3.00 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 24d 0h

–

Atletico Madrid

2º · 2.38 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 24d 0h

Camp Nou·Barcelona·Spain·55,926

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Barcelona and Atletico Madrid meet in the La Liga 2026 season on 2 December 2026. Barcelona have recorded 18 wins from 22 matches this season (82% win rate), averaging 3.45 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 86%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Atletico Madrid have won 60% of their 20 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 35%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.55 for Barcelona and 1.49 for Atletico Madrid. The models give Barcelona a 61% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Atletico Madrid win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 70%.

Season Statistics

Barcelona

—

Atletico Madrid

1º

Position

2º

3.00

PPG

2.38

100%

Win %

75%

4.25

Goals / game

2.25

0.88

Conceded / game

1.00

68%

BTTS %

55%

27%

Clean sheet %

35%

86%

Over 2.5 %

65%

5.9

Avg corners

5.1

20.1

Avg shots

14.9

7.9

Avg shots on target

5.3

1.3

Avg yellow cards

1.9

10.9

Avg fouls

11.4

68.6%

Avg possession

55.4%

Home vs Away

Barcelona

Home (4)

—

Atletico Madrid

Away (4)

3.00

PPG

2.25

100%

Win %

75%

4.25

Goals / game

2.00

1.00

Conceded / game

1.25

64%

BTTS %

64%

36%

Clean sheet %

27%

82%

Over 2.5 %

73%

5.9

Avg corners

5.1

20.1

Avg shots

14.9

7.9

Avg shots on target

5.3

1.3

Avg yellow cards

1.9

68.6%

Avg possession

55.4%

Goals Scored

	Barcelona	Home	Away	Atletico Madrid	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	95%	100%	91%	90%	89%	91%
Over 1.5 Scored	86%	82%	91%	55%	67%	45%
Over 2.5 Scored	64%	64%	64%	20%	22%	18%
Failed To Score	5%	0%	9%	10%	11%	9%

Goals Conceded

	Barcelona	Home	Away	Atletico Madrid	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	73%	64%	82%	65%	56%	73%
Over 1.5 Conceded	36%	27%	45%	35%	33%	36%
Over 2.5 Conceded	5%	0%	9%	10%	0%	18%
Clean Sheets	27%	36%	18%	35%	44%	27%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Barcelona	Atletico Madrid
Over 0.5	100%	100%
Over 1.5	91%	90%
Over 2.5	86%	65%
Over 3.5	64%	25%
Over 4.5	55%	5%
BTTS	68%	55%
BTTS & Win	55%	25%
BTTS & Draw	5%	10%
BTTS & Over 2.5	68%	50%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	18%	15%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Barcelona	Atletico Madrid
Win 1st Half	64%	35%
Draw 1st Half	23%	60%
Loss 1st Half	14%	5%
Scored 1st Half	86%	55%
Conceded 1st Half	55%	30%
Win 2nd Half	68%	60%
Draw 2nd Half	23%	5%
Loss 2nd Half	9%	35%
Scored 2nd Half	86%	65%
Conceded 2nd Half	50%	45%
Over 0.5 HT	100%	60%
Over 1.5 HT	73%	30%

Recent Venue Form

Barcelona (H)

Aston Villa3–0

Alaves6–1

Real Madrid1–2

Getafe3–0

Racing Santander7–2

Feyenoord5–1

Atletico Madrid (A)

Levante2–0

VfB Stuttgart1–1

Espanyol1–0

Alaves2–1

Real Sociedad3–0

Liverpool1–2

Number of Corners

8.8

Corners / Match

16 games

League Avg

9.8

118 games

8.9

Corners / Match

16 games

Match Corners	Barcelona	Atletico Madrid	League Avg
Over 6	63%	81%	81%
Over 7	44%	63%	69%
Over 8	38%	38%	55%
Over 9	38%	38%	51%
Over 10	38%	31%	40%
Over 11	31%	25%	32%
Over 12	19%	13%	26%
Over 13	19%	6%	19%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Barcelona	Atletico Madrid
Corners Earned / Match	5.9	5.1
Corners Against / Match	2.9	3.8
Over 2.5 Corners For	88%	88%
Over 3.5 Corners For	75%	63%
Over 4.5 Corners For	50%	44%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	50%	69%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	31%	56%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	19%	31%

Head to Head · 44 matches

Barcelona

61%

Draws

20%

Atletico Madrid

18%

75%

Over 1.5

33/44

55%

Over 2.5

24/44

23%

Over 3.5

10/44

55%

BTTS

24/44

08/11/26

Atletico Madrid

1–2

Barcelona

14/04/26

Atletico Madrid

1–2

Barcelona

08/04/26

Barcelona

0–2

Atletico Madrid

04/04/26

Atletico Madrid

1–2

Barcelona

03/03/26

Barcelona

3–0

Atletico Madrid

12/02/26

Atletico Madrid

4–0

Barcelona

02/12/25

Barcelona

3–1

Atletico Madrid

02/04/25

Atletico Madrid

0–1

Barcelona

16/03/25

Atletico Madrid

2–4

Barcelona

25/02/25

Barcelona

4–4

Atletico Madrid

21/12/24

Barcelona

1–2

Atletico Madrid

17/03/24

Atletico Madrid

0–3

Barcelona

03/12/23

Barcelona

1–0

Atletico Madrid

23/04/23

Barcelona

1–0

Atletico Madrid

08/01/23

Atletico Madrid

0–1

Barcelona

06/02/22

Barcelona

4–2

Atletico Madrid

02/10/21

Atletico Madrid

2–0

Barcelona

08/05/21

Barcelona

0–0

Atletico Madrid

21/11/20

Atletico Madrid

1–0

Barcelona

30/06/20

Barcelona

2–2

Atletico Madrid

La Liga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	12	11	0	1	+35	33
2	Real Madrid	12	10	0	2	+21	30
3	Atletico Madrid	12	9	1	2	+13	28
4	Real Betis	12	8	2	2	+5	26
5	Real Sociedad	12	7	1	4	+1	22
6	Sevilla	12	5	3	4	-2	18
7	Athletic Club	11	4	4	3	+4	16
8	Villarreal	12	4	3	5	+2	15
9	Deportivo La Coruna	12	3	6	3	+1	15
10	Racing Santander	12	4	2	6	-13	14
11	Celta Vigo	12	2	7	3	0	13
12	Alaves	12	3	4	5	-2	13
13	Espanyol	12	3	3	6	-1	12
14	Rayo Vallecano	11	3	3	5	-6	12
15	Getafe	12	3	3	6	-10	12
16	Osasuna	12	3	3	6	-11	12
17	Levante	12	2	5	5	-5	11
18	Elche	12	2	4	6	-6	10
19	Valencia	12	2	3	7	-12	9
20	Malaga	12	0	5	7	-14	5

Team Insights

Barcelona

●Barcelona have won their last 2 matches.
●Barcelona have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
●Barcelona have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
●Barcelona have won their last 6 away matches.
●Barcelona have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Barcelona have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Barcelona failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
●Barcelona have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
●Barcelona have won 6 of their 6 away matches.
●Barcelona have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.