Ponferradina vs Barakaldo — Primera División RFEF - Group 1
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Ponferradina and Barakaldo meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Ponferradina have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Barakaldo have won 20% of their 5 matches, with 0.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 20%, Over 2.5 at 20%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Ponferradina and 0.84 for Barakaldo. The models give Ponferradina a 52% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Barakaldo win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
PonferradinaBarakaldoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ponferradina | Home | Away | Barakaldo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Ponferradina | Home | Away | Barakaldo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 60% | 0% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% | 40% | 100% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ponferradina | Barakaldo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 20% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS | 38% | 20% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ponferradina | Barakaldo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 60% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 0% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Ponferradina (H)
Mérida AD1–0
Lugo0–0
Real Madrid II2–2
Real Avilés1–1
Celta de Vigo II0–0
Atlético Madrid II0–0Barakaldo (A)
Racing Ferrol0–1
CD Coria1–4
Portugalete0–2Real Avilés4–1
Tenerife0–2Ponferradina0–1Head to Head · 4 matches
BarakaldoPonferradinaBarakaldoPonferradina| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UD Logroñés | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 |  Real Unión | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 3 |  Athletic Club II | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 4 | Lugo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 5 |  Mirandes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 |  Pontevedra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Cacereño | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 | Racing Ferrol | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Ponferradina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Real Avilés | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 |  Zamora | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 |  Deportivo La Coruña II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 |  Cultural Leonesa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | CD Coria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Extremadura 1924 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 | Mérida AD | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Unionistas de Salamanca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 19 |  Arenas Getxo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 |  UD Ourense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
Team Insights
Ponferradina- ●Ponferradina have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
Barakaldo- ●Barakaldo have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Barakaldo have lost their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
PonferradinaMérida AD1–0Deportivo La Coruña II1–2Lugo0–0UD Ourense1–0Pontevedra27/09Mirandes04/10Real Avilés11/10BarakaldoRacing Ferrol0–1Extremadura 19241–0CD Coria1–4Cultural Leonesa0–0Real Avilés27/09Arenas Getxo03/10UD Ourense10/10Top Scorers
PonferradinaBarakaldoCards Given
PonferradinaBarakaldo