Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 9

Real Unión

2º · 1.75 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 35d 23h

–

Lugo

4º · 2.33 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 34d 23h

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Real Unión and Lugo meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Real Unión have recorded 3 wins from 6 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.50 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 100% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Lugo have won 57% of their 7 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 43%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Real Unión and 1.20 for Lugo. The models give Real Unión a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Lugo win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.

Season Statistics

Real Unión

—

Lugo

2º

Position

4º

1.75

PPG

2.33

50%

Win %

67%

3.00

Goals / game

1.33

2.00

Conceded / game

0.33

100%

BTTS %

43%

Clean sheet %

43%

83%

Over 2.5 %

29%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Real Unión

Home (2)

—

Lugo

Away (2)

2.00

PPG

2.00

50%

Win %

50%

3.00

Goals / game

1.50

Conceded / game

0.50

100%

BTTS %

33%

Clean sheet %

33%

67%

Over 2.5 %

33%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Real Unión	Home	Away	Lugo	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	100%	100%	100%	75%	100%	50%
Over 1.5 Scored	83%	67%	100%	38%	25%	50%
Over 2.5 Scored	33%	33%	33%	13%	0%	25%
Failed To Score	0%	0%	0%	25%	0%	50%

Goals Conceded

	Real Unión	Home	Away	Lugo	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	100%	100%	100%	63%	50%	75%
Over 1.5 Conceded	50%	33%	67%	0%	0%	0%
Over 2.5 Conceded	17%	0%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	0%	0%	0%	38%	50%	25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Real Unión	Lugo
Over 0.5	100%	88%
Over 1.5	100%	50%
Over 2.5	83%	38%
Over 3.5	67%	13%
Over 4.5	50%	0%
BTTS	100%	50%
BTTS & Win	50%	38%
BTTS & Draw	33%	13%
BTTS & Over 2.5	83%	38%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Real Unión	Lugo
Win 1st Half	33%	50%
Draw 1st Half	67%	25%
Loss 1st Half	0%	25%
Scored 1st Half	67%	50%
Conceded 1st Half	33%	25%
Win 2nd Half	33%	38%
Draw 2nd Half	50%	50%
Loss 2nd Half	17%	13%
Scored 2nd Half	83%	50%
Conceded 2nd Half	83%	38%
Over 0.5 HT	67%	75%
Over 1.5 HT	33%	13%

Recent Venue Form

Real Unión (H)

Mirandes2–2

CD Coria4–1

Eibar1–1

Alfaro2–0

Amorebieta3–3

Náxara3–0

Lugo (A)

Zamora2–1

Ponferradina0–0

Unionistas de Salamanca3–1

Deportivo La Coruna0–1

Celta de Vigo II1–0

Mérida AD2–0

Head to Head · 4 matches

Real Unión

25%

Draws

25%

Lugo

50%

75%

Over 1.5

3/4

50%

Over 2.5

2/4

25%

Over 3.5

1/4

25%

BTTS

1/4

13/04/25

Real Unión

3–0

Lugo

01/12/24

Lugo

3–1

Real Unión

03/02/24

Real Unión

0–0

Lugo

29/10/23

Lugo

2–0

Real Unión

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Logroñés	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Real Unión	4	2	1	1	+4	7
3	Athletic Club II	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Lugo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Mirandes	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Pontevedra	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Cacereño	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Racing Ferrol	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Ponferradina	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Real Avilés	4	1	1	2	0	4
11	Zamora	3	1	1	1	0	4
12	Deportivo La Coruña II	3	1	1	1	0	4
13	Cultural Leonesa	3	1	1	1	0	4
14	CD Coria	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Barakaldo	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Extremadura 1924	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Mérida AD	4	1	0	3	-2	3
18	Unionistas de Salamanca	4	1	0	3	-4	3
19	Arenas Getxo	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	UD Ourense	4	0	0	4	-8	0