Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II — Primera División RFEF - Group 1
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Mérida AD and Athletic Club II meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Mérida AD have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Athletic Club II have won 58% of their 12 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Mérida AD and 1.66 for Athletic Club II. The models give Mérida AD a 37% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Athletic Club II win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Mérida AD | Home | Away | Athletic Club | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 83% | 20% | 92% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 67% | 20% | 50% | 60% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 33% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 17% | 80% | 8% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Mérida AD | Home | Away | Athletic Club | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 67% | 100% | 50% | 60% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 50% | 40% | 17% | 40% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 33% | 40% | 8% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 40% | 57% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mérida AD | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 0% |
| BTTS | 36% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mérida AD | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 58% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 55% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 19 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 12 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Mérida AD have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Mérida AD have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Mérida AD have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●82% of Mérida AD's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Mérida AD's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Athletic Club II have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●75% of Athletic Club II's goals conceded were conceded at home.