Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 11

Cacereño

5º · 1.71 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 28d 23h

–

Lugo

1º · 2.71 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 26d 21h

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Cacereño and Lugo meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Cacereño have recorded 6 wins from 13 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 1.15 goals scored and 0.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 23%; and clean sheets in 46% of games. Lugo have won 73% of their 11 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 0.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 36%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for Cacereño and 1.05 for Lugo. The models give Cacereño a 38% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Lugo win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 47%.

Season Statistics

Cacereño

—

Lugo

5º

Position

1º

1.71

PPG

2.71

43%

Win %

86%

1.00

Goals / game

1.71

0.57

Conceded / game

0.57

38%

BTTS %

55%

46%

Clean sheet %

36%

23%

Over 2.5 %

45%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Cacereño

Home (4)

—

Lugo

Away (4)

2.50

PPG

2.50

75%

Win %

75%

1.50

Goals / game

1.75

0.25

Conceded / game

0.75

43%

BTTS %

60%

57%

Clean sheet %

20%

29%

Over 2.5 %

60%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Cacereño	Home	Away	Lugo	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	77%	100%	50%	82%	100%	60%
Over 1.5 Scored	31%	43%	17%	45%	33%	60%
Over 2.5 Scored	8%	14%	0%	18%	17%	20%
Failed To Score	23%	0%	50%	18%	0%	40%

Goals Conceded

	Cacereño	Home	Away	Lugo	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	54%	43%	67%	64%	50%	80%
Over 1.5 Conceded	15%	0%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	46%	57%	33%	36%	50%	20%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Cacereño	Lugo
Over 0.5	92%	91%
Over 1.5	69%	55%
Over 2.5	23%	45%
Over 3.5	0%	18%
Over 4.5	0%	0%
BTTS	38%	55%
BTTS & Win	8%	45%
BTTS & Draw	23%	9%
BTTS & Over 2.5	15%	45%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	8%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Cacereño	Lugo
Win 1st Half	31%	55%
Draw 1st Half	62%	18%
Loss 1st Half	8%	27%
Scored 1st Half	38%	55%
Conceded 1st Half	15%	36%
Win 2nd Half	38%	45%
Draw 2nd Half	38%	45%
Loss 2nd Half	23%	9%
Scored 2nd Half	54%	55%
Conceded 2nd Half	38%	27%
Over 0.5 HT	46%	82%
Over 1.5 HT	15%	18%

Recent Venue Form

Cacereño (H)

Unionistas de Salamanca1–1

Arenas Getxo3–0

Cultural Leonesa1–0

UD San Pedro2–0

Mirandes1–0

Gévora2–1

Lugo (A)

Real Avilés2–1

Zamora2–1

Ponferradina0–0

Unionistas de Salamanca3–1

Deportivo La Coruna0–1

Celta de Vigo II1–0

Head to Head · 2 matches

Cacereño

Draws

Lugo

100%

50%

Over 1.5

1/2

50%

Over 2.5

1/2

Over 3.5

0/2

50%

BTTS

1/2

29/03/26

Cacereño

1–2

Lugo

04/10/25

Lugo

1–0

Cacereño

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lugo	7	6	1	0	+8	19
2	UD Logroñés	7	5	1	1	+6	16
3	Racing Ferrol	7	4	1	2	+3	13
4	Athletic Club II	7	3	3	1	+4	12
5	Cacereño	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	Mirandes	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Zamora	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Cultural Leonesa	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Ponferradina	7	3	2	2	0	11
10	Real Unión	7	2	3	2	+2	9
11	Extremadura 1924	7	3	0	4	+1	9
12	Mérida AD	7	3	0	4	-1	9
13	Real Avilés	7	2	2	3	+1	8
14	Deportivo La Coruña II	7	2	2	3	0	8
15	Pontevedra	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Unionistas de Salamanca	7	2	1	4	-3	7
17	Barakaldo	7	1	3	3	-4	6
18	CD Coria	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	UD Ourense	7	1	2	4	-7	5
20	Arenas Getxo	7	0	2	5	-13	2