Pontevedra vs UD Ourense — Primera División RFEF - Group 1
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Pontevedra and UD Ourense meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Pontevedra have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. UD Ourense have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 0.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for Pontevedra and 1.16 for UD Ourense. The models give Pontevedra a 49% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an UD Ourense win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pontevedra | Home | Away | UD Ourense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 83% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 17% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 17% | 57% | 75% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Pontevedra | Home | Away | UD Ourense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 100% | 67% | 71% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 33% | 50% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 17% | 33% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 0% | 33% | 29% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pontevedra | UD Ourense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 0% |
| BTTS | 75% | 29% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 14% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pontevedra | UD Ourense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 57% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 0% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 19 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 12 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Pontevedra have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Pontevedra failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Pontevedra have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●78% of Pontevedra's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Pontevedra's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●UD Ourense have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●UD Ourense have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.