Ponferradina vs Cacereño — Primera División RFEF - Group 1
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Ponferradina and Cacereño meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Ponferradina have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Cacereño have won 46% of their 13 matches, with 1.15 goals scored and 0.69 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 23%, and clean sheets at 46%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.13 for Ponferradina and 0.84 for Cacereño. The models give Ponferradina a 46% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Cacereño win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 32% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ponferradina | Home | Away | Cacereño | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 67% | 80% | 77% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 18% | 17% | 20% | 31% | 43% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 0% | 20% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 33% | 20% | 23% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Ponferradina | Home | Away | Cacereño | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 50% | 60% | 54% | 43% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 33% | 40% | 15% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 50% | 40% | 46% | 57% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ponferradina | Cacereño | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 23% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 36% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 18% | 15% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ponferradina | Cacereño | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 62% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 15% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 46% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 18% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 3 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 19 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 12 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 2 |
Team Insights
—
- ●Cacereño have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Cacereño have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Cacereño have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●83% of Cacereño's points have been earned at home.