UD Ourense vs Racing Ferrol — Primera División RFEF - Group 1
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UD Ourense and Racing Ferrol meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 22 November 2026. UD Ourense have recorded 1 wins from 8 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 0.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Racing Ferrol have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 20%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.03 for UD Ourense and 0.92 for Racing Ferrol. The models give UD Ourense a 36% win probability, with a draw at 32% and an Racing Ferrol win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 31% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
UD OurenseRacing FerrolHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| UD Ourense | Home | Away | Racing Ferrol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 38% | 25% | 50% | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 63% | 75% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| UD Ourense | Home | Away | Racing Ferrol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 50% | 100% | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 25% | 75% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 50% | 0% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UD Ourense | Racing Ferrol | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 20% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS | 25% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 13% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UD Ourense | Racing Ferrol | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 63% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 0% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 30% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
UD Ourense (H)
Barakaldo1–0
Cacereño0–0
UD Logroñés0–3
Ponferradina0–1
Conquense1–0
Reddis2–1Racing Ferrol (A)
Deportivo La Coruña II1–0
Lugo0–1
Extremadura 19240–1
Arenas Getxo1–1
Unionistas de Salamanca2–3Arenas Getxo1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 | UD Logroñés | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 4 |  Mérida AD | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  Athletic Club II | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Zamora | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Cultural Leonesa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Cacereño | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 9 | Ponferradina | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 |  Real Avilés | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 11 |  Pontevedra | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Mirandes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 |  Real Unión | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 14 | Extremadura 1924 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Deportivo La Coruña II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 17 |  CD Coria | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -17 | 2 |
Team Insights
UD Ourense- ●UD Ourense have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●69% of UD Ourense's goals conceded were conceded away.
Racing Ferrol- ●Racing Ferrol have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Racing Ferrol have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Racing Ferrol have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Racing Ferrol have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Racing Ferrol have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●78% of Racing Ferrol's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Racing Ferrol's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
UD OurenseReal Avilés0–3Barakaldo1–0Real Unión1–1Cacereño0–0Unionistas de Salamanca1–3UD Logroñés0–3Arenas Getxo24/10Cultural Leonesa01/11Pontevedra07/11Racing FerrolUnionistas de Salamanca1–0Deportivo La Coruña II1–0Pontevedra2–0Lugo0–1Barakaldo1–0Real Unión3–2Mirandes24/10Ponferradina31/10UD Logroñés07/11Top Scorers
UD OurenseRacing FerrolCards Given
UD OurenseRacing Ferrol