Athletic Club II vs UD Ourense — Primera División RFEF - Group 1
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Athletic Club II and UD Ourense meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Athletic Club II have recorded 8 wins from 16 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. UD Ourense have won 17% of their 12 matches, with 0.42 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 25%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for Athletic Club II and 0.93 for UD Ourense. The models give Athletic Club II a 52% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an UD Ourense win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Athletic Club IIUD OurenseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Athletic Club | Home | Away | UD Ourense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 83% | 90% | 42% | 40% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 67% | 30% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 17% | 30% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 17% | 10% | 58% | 60% | 57% |
Goals Conceded
| Athletic Club | Home | Away | UD Ourense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 67% | 60% | 75% | 40% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 33% | 30% | 50% | 20% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 17% | 0% | 33% | 20% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 33% | 40% | 25% | 60% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Athletic Club | UD Ourense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 56% | 25% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Athletic Club | UD Ourense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 58% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 0% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 58% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 8% |
Recent Venue Form
Athletic Club (H)
Cacereño3–1
Real Unión0–0
Extremadura 19241–3
Deportivo La Coruña II2–2
Real Avilés2–1
Cultural Leonesa2–0UD Ourense (A)
Pontevedra0–1
Gimnástica Torrelavega1–3
Arenas Getxo0–2Real Avilés0–3Real Unión1–1
Unionistas de Salamanca1–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lugo | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 28 |
| 2 |  UD Logroñés | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 23 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 4 | Cacereño | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 5 | Real Avilés | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +8 | 17 |
| 6 |  Mirandes | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 7 |  Racing Ferrol | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 | Extremadura 1924 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | +6 | 16 |
| 9 |  Mérida AD | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | +4 | 16 |
| 10 | Athletic Club II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 |  Ponferradina | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Barakaldo | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | Real Unión | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Cultural Leonesa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 |  Zamora | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 17 |  CD Coria | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 | Deportivo La Coruña II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 11 |
| 19 | Arenas Getxo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 11 |
| 20 | UD Ourense | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 8 |
Team Insights
Athletic Club- ●Athletic Club II have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Athletic Club II have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Athletic Club II failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Athletic Club II failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Athletic Club II have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
UD Ourense- ●UD Ourense have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●UD Ourense have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●UD Ourense have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●UD Ourense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●UD Ourense have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●UD Ourense failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●UD Ourense have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●75% of UD Ourense's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●87% of UD Ourense's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Athletic ClubMérida AD0–2Cacereño3–1Unionistas de Salamanca1–2CD Coria1–2Real Unión0–0Extremadura 19241–3Racing Ferrol14/11Mirandes21/11Cultural Leonesa29/11UD OurensePontevedra0–1Cultural Leonesa1–0Arenas Getxo0–2Real Avilés0–3Barakaldo1–0Real Unión1–1Mérida AD14/11Racing Ferrol22/11Lugo29/11Top Scorers
Athletic ClubUD OurenseCards Given
Athletic ClubUD Ourense