Real Murcia vs Zaragoza — Primera División RFEF - Group 2
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Real Murcia and Zaragoza meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Real Murcia have recorded 5 wins from 8 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 1.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Zaragoza have won 64% of their 11 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for Real Murcia and 1.20 for Zaragoza. The models give Real Murcia a 50% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Zaragoza win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Real MurciaZaragozaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Real Murcia | Home | Away | Zaragoza | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 100% | 71% | 82% | 83% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 100% | 57% | 55% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 29% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 0% | 29% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Murcia | Home | Away | Zaragoza | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 50% | 100% | 73% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 14% | 36% | 17% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 14% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 50% | 0% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Murcia | Zaragoza | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 9% |
| BTTS | 67% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 56% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Murcia | Zaragoza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Murcia (H)
Teruel4–0
Eldense2–1Eldense3–0
Real Betis II1–2
Antequera2–3
Atlético Madrid II2–1Zaragoza (A)
Juventud Torremolinos4–3
Gimnastic0–2
Numancia1–2
Villarreal II2–0
UD Logroñés2–1
Las Palmas1–1Head to Head · 1 matches
Real Murcia| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal II | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid II | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 |
| 3 | Gimnastic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 4 |  Real Jaén | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 |  Ibiza | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 6 | Real Murcia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 7 | Zaragoza | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 |  FC Cartagena | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 | Antequera | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 |  Águilas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 |  Huesca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |  Alcorcon | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 |  Sant Andreu | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Hércules | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Juventud Torremolinos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 |  Europa Fc | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 19 | Teruel | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 20 |  Algeciras | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Team Insights
Real Murcia—
Zaragoza- ●Zaragoza have won their last 2 matches.
Season Schedule
Real MurciaAtlético Madrid II0–4Teruel4–0Hércules2–1Europa Fc19/09Gimnastic04/10FC Cartagena07/10ZaragozaJuventud Torremolinos4–3Antequera1–0Gimnastic0–2FC Cartagena20/09Ibiza25/09Teruel04/10Top Scorers
Real MurciaZaragozaCards Given
Real MurciaZaragoza