Alcorcon vs Real Jaén — Primera División RFEF - Group 2
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Alcorcon and Real Jaén meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Alcorcon have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Real Jaén have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Alcorcon and 0.86 for Real Jaén. The models give Alcorcon a 49% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Real Jaén win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Alcorcon | Home | Away | Real Jaén | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 80% | 67% | 78% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 60% | 33% | 44% | 75% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 40% | 0% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 20% | 33% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Alcorcon | Home | Away | Real Jaén | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 20% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 0% | 33% | 44% | 75% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 80% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 60% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alcorcon | Real Jaén | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 11% |
| BTTS | 45% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alcorcon | Real Jaén | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 100% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 55% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 9% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 15 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 12 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 | |
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Alcorcon have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Alcorcon have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●62% of Alcorcon's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Alcorcon have scored 69% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Real Jaén have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Real Jaén have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●64% of Real Jaén's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Real Jaén's goals conceded were conceded at home.

