Real Murcia vs Alcorcon — Primera División RFEF - Group 2
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Real Murcia and Alcorcon meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Real Murcia have recorded 9 wins from 14 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 1.79 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Alcorcon have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Real Murcia and 0.98 for Alcorcon. The models give Real Murcia a 52% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Alcorcon win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Real MurciaAlcorconHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Real Murcia | Home | Away | Alcorcon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 100% | 70% | 73% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 100% | 40% | 45% | 60% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 25% | 20% | 18% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 0% | 30% | 27% | 20% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Murcia | Home | Away | Alcorcon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 50% | 90% | 64% | 20% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 20% | 18% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 50% | 10% | 36% | 80% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Murcia | Alcorcon | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 9% |
| BTTS | 57% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 43% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Murcia | Alcorcon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 55% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 27% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Murcia (H)
Gimnastic2–0
Europa Fc2–1
Teruel4–0
Eldense2–1Eldense3–0
Real Betis II1–2Alcorcon (A)Teruel0–1
Real Madrid II2–1
Antequera1–1
Águilas2–2
Unionistas de Salamanca0–1
Mérida AD1–2Head to Head · 5 matches
Real MurciaAlcorconReal MurciaAlcorconAlcorcon| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaragoza | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 2 | Real Murcia | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 3 |  Villarreal II | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 4 |  Hércules | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 5 | Alcorcon | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 12 |
| 6 |  FC Cartagena | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 7 |  Real Jaén | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Antequera | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Huesca | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ibiza | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |  Atlético Madrid II | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 | Real Madrid II | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 |  Sant Andreu | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 |  Algeciras | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Europa Fc | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 | Águilas | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Teruel | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
| 19 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 |  Juventud Torremolinos | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 2 |
Team Insights
Real Murcia- ●Real Murcia have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●73% of Real Murcia's goals have been scored at home.
Alcorcon- ●Alcorcon have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Alcorcon have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●62% of Alcorcon's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Alcorcon have scored 69% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Real MurciaRayo Majadahonda1–0FC Cartagena0–1Gimnastic2–0Europa Fc2–1Atlético Madrid II0–4Teruel4–0Zaragoza18/10Juventud Torremolinos24/10Antequera01/11AlcorconTeruel0–1Juventud Torremolinos5–0Real Madrid II2–1Gimnastic3–0Antequera1–1Europa Fc0–0Huesca16/10Ibiza25/10Atlético Madrid II30/10Top Scorers
Real MurciaAlcorconCards Given
Real MurciaAlcorcon