Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 16

Real Murcia

3º · 1.82 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 34d 20h

–

Real Jaén

4º · 1.73 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 32d 21h

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Real Murcia and Real Jaén meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Real Murcia have recorded 10 wins from 18 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Real Jaén have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 29%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Real Murcia and 0.98 for Real Jaén. The models give Real Murcia a 47% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Real Jaén win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 48%.

Season Statistics

Real Murcia

—

Real Jaén

3º

Position

4º

1.82

PPG

1.73

55%

Win %

45%

1.18

Goals / game

1.73

0.82

Conceded / game

1.36

50%

BTTS %

64%

28%

Clean sheet %

29%

50%

Over 2.5 %

57%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Real Murcia

Home (5)

—

Real Jaén

Away (6)

2.20

PPG

1.33

60%

Win %

33%

1.80

Goals / game

1.33

0.40

Conceded / game

1.17

50%

BTTS %

50%

Clean sheet %

38%

50%

Over 2.5 %

38%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Real Murcia	Home	Away	Real Jaén	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	72%	83%	67%	86%	100%	75%
Over 1.5 Scored	44%	67%	33%	50%	67%	38%
Over 2.5 Scored	17%	17%	17%	29%	33%	25%
Failed To Score	28%	17%	33%	14%	0%	25%

Goals Conceded

	Real Murcia	Home	Away	Real Jaén	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	72%	50%	83%	71%	83%	63%
Over 1.5 Conceded	11%	0%	17%	43%	67%	25%
Over 2.5 Conceded	11%	0%	17%	14%	17%	13%
Clean Sheets	28%	50%	17%	29%	17%	38%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Real Murcia	Real Jaén
Over 0.5	94%	93%
Over 1.5	67%	79%
Over 2.5	50%	57%
Over 3.5	28%	29%
Over 4.5	11%	21%
BTTS	50%	64%
BTTS & Win	33%	21%
BTTS & Draw	11%	29%
BTTS & Over 2.5	39%	50%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	11%	7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Real Murcia	Real Jaén
Win 1st Half	33%	29%
Draw 1st Half	39%	64%
Loss 1st Half	28%	7%
Scored 1st Half	44%	50%
Conceded 1st Half	39%	36%
Win 2nd Half	39%	29%
Draw 2nd Half	33%	50%
Loss 2nd Half	28%	21%
Scored 2nd Half	50%	64%
Conceded 2nd Half	39%	57%
Over 0.5 HT	72%	57%
Over 1.5 HT	22%	29%

Recent Venue Form

Real Murcia (H)

Algeciras1–1

Zaragoza0–0

Gimnastic2–0

Europa Fc2–1

Teruel4–0

Eldense2–1

Real Jaén (A)

Mijas Las Lagunas2–1

Alcorcon3–4

Atlético Madrid II1–1

Hércules0–0

Antequera0–2

Teruel1–0

Primera División RFEF - Group 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zaragoza	11	7	3	1	+9	24
2	Villarreal II	11	6	4	1	+11	22
3	Real Murcia	11	6	2	3	+4	20
4	Real Jaén	11	5	4	2	+4	19
5	Real Madrid II	12	5	4	3	+3	19
6	Alcorcon	11	4	6	1	+9	18
7	Ibiza	11	5	3	3	+4	18
8	Hércules	11	5	2	4	-1	17
9	FC Cartagena	11	4	4	3	+3	16
10	Huesca	11	3	6	2	0	15
11	Gimnastic	12	4	3	5	-2	15
12	Antequera	11	3	5	3	+2	14
13	Algeciras	11	4	2	5	-1	14
14	Sant Andreu	11	3	4	4	0	13
15	Atlético Madrid II	11	2	5	4	+1	11
16	Europa Fc	11	3	1	7	-11	10
17	Águilas	11	1	6	4	-6	9
18	Juventud Torremolinos	11	1	5	5	-9	8
19	Rayo Majadahonda	11	2	1	8	-7	7
20	Teruel	11	1	4	6	-13	7