Ludogorets II vs Nesebar — Second League
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Ludogorets II and Nesebar meet in the Second League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Ludogorets II have recorded 10 wins from 19 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.89 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Nesebar have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 1.83 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for Ludogorets II and 1.10 for Nesebar. The models give Ludogorets II a 42% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Nesebar win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Ludogorets II—
Nesebar14º
Position
5º
1.20
PPG
1.70
30%
Win %
50%
0.90
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.50
47%
BTTS %
67%
32%
Clean sheet %
25%
42%
Over 2.5 %
42%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Ludogorets II
Home (4)
—
Nesebar
Away (4)
1.25
PPG
1.00
25%
Win %
25%
1.00
Goals / game
0.75
1.25
Conceded / game
1.25
58%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Clean sheet %
17%
50%
Over 2.5 %
17%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Ludogorets II | Home | Away | Nesebar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 92% | 57% | 92% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 67% | 29% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 25% | 14% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 8% | 43% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Ludogorets II | Home | Away | Nesebar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 67% | 71% | 75% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 16% | 8% | 29% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 33% | 29% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ludogorets II | Nesebar | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 25% |
| BTTS | 47% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 26% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ludogorets II | Nesebar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 16% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 37% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Ludogorets II (H)D
Fratria1–1
Fratria1–1D
Hebar 19181–1
Hebar 19181–1L
Vihren0–2
Vihren0–2W
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa2–1
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa2–1WLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa2–0
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa2–0W
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia2–0
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia2–0Nesebar (A)DLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1–1
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1–1L
Marek0–1
Marek0–1W
Sportist Svoge1–0
Sportist Svoge1–0L
Montana1–3
Montana1–3D
Spartak Varna1–1
Spartak Varna1–1DLudogorets II1–1
Ludogorets II1–1Head to Head · 9 matches
4
Ludogorets II
44%
2
Draws
22%
3
Nesebar
33%
100%
Over 1.5
9/9
67%
Over 2.5
6/9
56%
Over 3.5
5/9
67%
BTTS
6/9
01/07/26Nesebar
Ludogorets II
1–1Nesebar02/04/25Nesebar
Ludogorets II
2–0Nesebar21/09/24Ludogorets II
Nesebar
2–2Ludogorets II03/12/18Nesebar
Ludogorets II
4–1Nesebar29/07/18Ludogorets II
Nesebar
4–2Ludogorets II04/03/18Nesebar
Ludogorets II
0–2Nesebar13/08/17Ludogorets II
Nesebar
3–1Ludogorets II03/04/17Nesebar
Ludogorets II
3–0Nesebar25/09/16Ludogorets II
Nesebar
1–4Ludogorets II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 |  CSKA Sofia II | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 20 |
| 3 | Fratria | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Nesebar | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Yantra 2019 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Beroe | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 |  Rilski Sportist | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Hebar 1918 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 14 |
| 11 |  Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Spartak Pleven | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Marek | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Ludogorets II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Montana | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | -28 | 0 |
Team Insights
Ludogorets II- ●Ludogorets II have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Nesebar- ●Nesebar have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Nesebar failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Nesebar have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Nesebar have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Nesebar failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Nesebar have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●85% of Nesebar's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Nesebar's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●76% of Nesebar's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Ludogorets IILASpartak Pleven0–1
Spartak Pleven0–1DHFratria1–1
Fratria1–1WAPirin Blagoevgrad3–0
Pirin Blagoevgrad3–0LAChernomorets 1919 Burgas0–1
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas0–1DHHebar 19181–1
Hebar 19181–1DACSKA Sofia II1–1
CSKA Sofia II1–1–HEtar Veliko Tarnovo27/09
Etar Veliko Tarnovo27/09–AMontana10/10
Montana10/10–HDobrudzha24/10
Dobrudzha24/10NesebarWHBeroe4–3
Beroe4–3DALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1–1
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1–1WHRilski Sportist2–1
Rilski Sportist2–1LAMarek0–1
Marek0–1DHYantra 20191–1
Yantra 20191–1WHPirin Blagoevgrad7–0
Pirin Blagoevgrad7–0–AVihren27/09
Vihren27/09–HCSKA Sofia II10/10
CSKA Sofia II10/10–AHebar 191824/10
Hebar 191824/10Top Scorers
Ludogorets II6 ⚽
K. Nikolov3 ⚽
A. Marinov2 ⚽
E. Bile2 ⚽
M. Stanchev1 ⚽
N. Nikolov1 ⚽
NesebarS. Statev4 ⚽
I. Kolev4 ⚽
K. Parashkevov3 ⚽
3 ⚽
R. Ismailov2 ⚽
D. Balinov1 ⚽
Cards Given
Ludogorets IIT. Mustafa4 🟨
3 🟨
G. Penev3 🟨
N. Nikolov3 🟨
Y. Georgiev3 🟨
N. Yanev2 🟨
Nesebar6 🟨
S. Pergelov2 🟨
S. Statev2 🟨
M. Zegai2 🟨
D. Lastardzhiev2 🟨
V. Dotsev1 🟨