Nesebar vs Fratria — Second League
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Nesebar and Fratria meet in the Second League 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Nesebar have recorded 6 wins from 15 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Fratria have won 42% of their 19 matches, with 1.37 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.83 for Nesebar and 1.26 for Fratria. The models give Nesebar a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Fratria win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Nesebar | Home | Away | Fratria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 86% | 75% | 79% | 71% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 57% | 13% | 47% | 43% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 29% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 14% | 25% | 21% | 29% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Nesebar | Home | Away | Fratria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 57% | 88% | 68% | 43% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 29% | 25% | 26% | 14% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 29% | 13% | 5% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 43% | 13% | 32% | 57% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nesebar | Fratria | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 16% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS | 60% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 37% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 26% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nesebar | Fratria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 4 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 24 | |
| 2 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 24 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 24 | |
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 19 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 19 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 | |
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 | |
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 17 | |
| 10 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 17 | |
| 11 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 | |
| 12 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 | |
| 13 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | |
| 14 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 14 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 11 | |
| 16 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 10 | |
| 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 9 | |
| 18 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Nesebar have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Nesebar have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Nesebar have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Nesebar failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●85% of Nesebar's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Nesebar's points have been earned at home.
- ●Fratria have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fratria have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fratria failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fratria have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Fratria failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Fratria have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Fratria's goals conceded were conceded away.