Atlético Astorga vs Gernika — Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
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Atlético Astorga and Gernika meet in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Atlético Astorga have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Gernika have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 2.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Atlético Astorga and 1.27 for Gernika. The models give Atlético Astorga a 39% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Gernika win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Atlético Astorga | Home | Away | Gernika | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 63% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 38% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Atlético Astorga | Home | Away | Gernika | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 75% | 100% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 13% | 100% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atlético Astorga | Gernika | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 0% |
| BTTS | 36% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 50% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atlético Astorga | Gernika | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 10 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 10 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 9 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 6 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 | |
| 17 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -7 | 4 | |
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Atlético Astorga have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●78% of Atlético Astorga's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Atlético Astorga's points have been earned at home.
- ●Gernika have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Gernika have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Gernika have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.