Atlético Astorga vs Arosa — Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
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Atlético Astorga and Arosa meet in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Atlético Astorga have recorded 3 wins from 13 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 1.23 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Arosa have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Atlético Astorga and 1.11 for Arosa. The models give Atlético Astorga a 43% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Arosa win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Atlético AstorgaArosaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Atlético Astorga | Home | Away | Arosa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 44% | 25% | 67% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 22% | 0% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 20% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Atlético Astorga | Home | Away | Arosa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 78% | 100% | 89% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 11% | 100% | 56% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 0% | 50% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 22% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atlético Astorga | Arosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 22% |
| BTTS | 46% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atlético Astorga | Arosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 78% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Atlético Astorga (H)
Gernika1–1
Ourense CF4–0
Amorebieta0–1
Marino de Luanco3–0
Portugalete0–1
Palencia CF0–1Arosa (A)
Sestao River0–1Ourense CF0–0
Basconia2–2Amorebieta2–2
Cambados2–0
Barco1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sestao River | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Alavés II | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 3 |  Bergantiños | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Eibar II | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Compostela | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Amorebieta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 | Portugalete | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Gernika | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 10 |
| 9 | Ourense CF | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Real Oviedo II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Basconia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Coruxo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Atlético Astorga | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Arosa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 |  Llanera | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Marino de Luanco | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Racing Santander II | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
| 17 |  Arenteiro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Gimnástica Torrelavega | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
Team Insights
Atlético Astorga- ●Atlético Astorga have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atlético Astorga have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●73% of Atlético Astorga's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Atlético Astorga's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Atlético Astorga's points have been earned at home.
Arosa- ●67% of Arosa's goals have been scored at home.
- ●71% of Arosa's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Atlético AstorgaGernika1–1Compostela1–4Ourense CF4–0Amorebieta0–1Sestao River0–2Marino de Luanco3–0Racing Santander II01/11Eibar II07/11Arosa15/11ArosaSestao River0–1Llanera4–1Bergantiños2–2Ourense CF0–0Deportivo Alavés II2–5Basconia2–2Portugalete01/11Compostela08/11Atlético Astorga15/11Top Scorers
Atlético AstorgaArosaCards Given
Atlético AstorgaArosa