Sestao River vs Amorebieta — Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
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Sestao River and Amorebieta meet in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Sestao River have recorded 10 wins from 16 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 31%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Amorebieta have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 1.11 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for Sestao River and 1.03 for Amorebieta. The models give Sestao River a 44% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Amorebieta win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Sestao RiverAmorebietaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sestao River | Home | Away | Amorebieta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 63% | 88% | 67% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 38% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 38% | 13% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Sestao River | Home | Away | Amorebieta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 50% | 63% | 78% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 19% | 13% | 25% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 50% | 38% | 22% | 0% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sestao River | Amorebieta | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 31% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 0% |
| BTTS | 38% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sestao River | Amorebieta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Sestao River (H)
Arosa1–0
Salamanca UDS3–1
Gimnástica Torrelavega0–0
Terrassa4–1
Atlético Astorga2–0
Real Oviedo II2–0Amorebieta (A)
Gernika2–1Atlético Astorga1–0
Racing Santander II2–0
Bergantiños0–1
Mutilvera2–0
Real Unión3–3Head to Head · 6 matches
Sestao RiverAmorebietaAmorebietaSestao RiverAmorebietaSestao River| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sestao River | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Alavés II | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 3 | Bergantiños | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Eibar II | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Compostela | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Amorebieta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |  Portugalete | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Gernika | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 10 |
| 9 |  Ourense CF | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Real Oviedo II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Basconia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Coruxo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Atlético Astorga | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Arosa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 |  Llanera | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Marino de Luanco | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Racing Santander II | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
| 17 |  Arenteiro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Gimnástica Torrelavega | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
Team Insights
Sestao River- ●Sestao River have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Sestao River have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Sestao River have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sestao River have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sestao River have won their last 2 away matches.
Amorebieta- ●Amorebieta have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Amorebieta have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●75% of Amorebieta's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●69% of Amorebieta's points have been earned away.
- ●Amorebieta have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Sestao RiverArosa1–0Marino de Luanco1–0Gimnástica Torrelavega0–0Gernika2–1Atlético Astorga2–0Compostela0–2Coruxo01/11Deportivo Alavés II08/11Bergantiños15/11AmorebietaCoruxo2–1Gernika2–1Portugalete1–2Atlético Astorga1–0Ourense CF0–1Racing Santander II2–0Gimnástica Torrelavega01/11Basconia07/11Eibar II15/11Top Scorers
Sestao RiverAmorebieta